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PLOS Medicine

Self-explaining artificial intelligence for the classification of B cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma: A diagnostic decision support study

by Michael C. Thrun, Jörg Hoffmann, Stefan W. Krause, Peter Krawitz, Quirin Stier, Andreas Neubauer, Cornelia Brendel, Alfred Ultsch Background Multiparameter flow cytometry is a cornerstone of B cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma (B-NHL) diagnostics, but interpretation requires substantial expertise and is complicated by high-dimensional data, variable sample quality, limited data for rare entities, and evolving clinical classification systems. Current artificial intelligence approaches often require large training datasets and provide limited insight into the rationale behind individual diagnostic decisions. Methods and findings We developed FlowXAI, a self-explaining artificial intelligence system designed to support B-NHL classification while explicitly reporting case-level diagnostic trustworthiness. FlowXAI combines unsupervised structural analysis with a clinically motivated, multi-level diagnostic framework reflecting routine diagnostic priorities. An unsupervised Tile Mining (TM) procedure performs pre-diagnostic sample-quality assessment by identifying structurally atypical samples. TM is applied to filter training data, enabling substantial reduction of training requirements while preserving unbiased evaluation on independent test samples.FlowXAI was evaluated using repeated cross-validation on 19,493 peripheral blood samples and further assessed on an independent external benchmark dataset generated at a separate diagnostic center using a different antibody panel. Across diagnostic levels, FlowXAI achieved performance comparable to a deep learning–based system despite requiring approximately two orders of magnitude fewer training samples. When predictions were classified as confident by the system’s internal self-assessment, diagnostic performance exceeded that of the neural network baseline. Unsupervised structural analysis demonstrated clear separation between normal controls and selected lymphoma entities such as chronic lymphocytic leukemia–like lymphomas and hairy cell leukemia, while other entities were not clearly separable using the antibody panels studied. Conclusions FlowXAI provides accurate, data-efficient, and transparent support for B-NHL immunophenotyping from nonstandardized flow cytometry data. By combining interpretable decision logic with explicit self-assessment, FlowXAI offers a clinically meaningful framework for diagnostic support and training, particularly in settings with limited expert availability or rare lymphoma subtypes. The main limitation is the retrospective evaluation using specific antibody panels, and FlowXAI requires prospective validation as a decision-support tool within integrated diagnostic workflows.

PLOS Medicine

Compression therapies for venous leg ulcers: The VENous Ulcer Study 6 (VenUS 6), an open, multicentre, randomised clinical trial

by Catherine Arundel, Charlie Welch, Luke Strachan, Charlie Peck, Ross Atkinson, Una Adderley, Ian Chetter, Nicky Cullum, Tom Davill, Jane Griffiths, Catherine Hewitt, Charlotte Hirst, Katherine Jones, Maartje Kletter, Julie Mullings, Han Phung, Gareth Roberts, Pedro Saramago, Brigid Smart, Marta Soares, Philip Stather, Nikki Stubbs, Jude Watson, Sabeen Zahra, Jo Dumville Background Strong compression is a recommended first line venous leg ulcer treatment. With limited research comparing the clinical effectiveness of compression wraps (CW) and two-layer compression bandage treatments with evidence-based compression (EBC) (four-layer compression bandages and two-layer compression hosiery), this study aimed to evaluate their clinical effectiveness on time to venous leg ulcer healing. Methods and findings A pragmatic, three-arm, randomised controlled trial in 33 United Kingdom primary, community and hospital sites between 03.02.2021 and 31.08.2024. Adults with a venous leg ulcer appropriate for compression therapy were randomised 1:1:1 to be offered CW, two-layer bandage, or EBC (two-layer hosiery or four-layer bandage). Participants and clinical staff were not blinded. The primary outcome was time to blind assessed ulcer healing (date of ulcer healing: date of earliest photograph showing healing). Analyses included a noninferiority comparison of two-layer bandage and EBC (handling key intercurrent events under hypothetical and treatment policy strategies), and superiority comparisons of CW with both EBC and two-layer bandage (handling key intercurrent events under a treatment policy strategy). Healing times were analysed using Cox proportional hazards regression adjusted for fixed effects (treatment allocation, baseline ulcer area and duration, participant age, and mobility status), and shared frailties (recruitment site). The trial was pre-registered: ISRCTN67321719.637 participants were randomised to be offered CW (n = 213), two-layer bandage (n = 211) or EBC (n = 213). Mean age was 70.3 (range 24.6 to 97.0) years, 55% (n = 351) were male, and the majority (n = 606, 95%) were white. 633 participants contributed time at risk of healing and were included in the analysis.Using a treatment policy strategy to handle key intercurrent events (modified intention-to-treat analysis), the estimated hazard ratio (HR) for the noninferiority comparison (EBC and two-layer bandage) was 1.01 (95% CI [0.79, 1.28]), meeting the pre-specified noninferiority margin of 1.33. The corresponding hypothetical strategy analysis gave a HR of 1.16 (95% CI [0.86, 1.58]), which did not demonstrate noninferiority.For the superiority comparisons, healing was slower in the CW group than in the EBC group (HR 0.78, 95% CI [0.61, 1.00]; p = 0.046). Results were similar for the two-layer bandage group (HR 0.79, 95% CI [0.61, 1.01]; p = 0.056), although this did not reach statistical significance. Both comparisons showed considerable statistical uncertainty, with confidence intervals ranging from a 39% reduction in the hazard of healing to little or no difference between groups.Nine serious adverse events occurred; one potentially related to treatment (cause of death could not be ascertained). Departures from allocated compression treatment were common, which limits generalisability to settings with different adherence patterns. These departures, lower than expected ulcer healing incidence rates and slight under-recruitment, resulted in the number of healing events being smaller than the number required for 80% power. Conclusion CW is unlikely to reduce the time to venous leg ulcer healing compared to two-layer bandage or EBC, although confidence intervals included treatment effects indicating little or no difference between groups. Despite remaining uncertainty, these findings may not support CW as a first line strong compression treatment for venous leg ulcers. Trial registration ISRCTN – reference 67321719.

PLOS Medicine

Genetic and sociodemographic factors associated with trajectories of physical and mental health multimorbidity in a South Asian cohort in the UK: A multistate modelling analysis

by Daniel Stow, Ruby S. M. Tsang, Ioanna K. Katzourou, Qinqin Huang, Miriam Samuel, Megan L. Wood, Jack F. G. Underwood, Genes and Health Research Team, The LIfespaN multimorbidity research Collaborative (LINC) , Rupert A. Payne, James T. R. Walters, Nicholas J. Timpson, Inês Barroso, Hilary C. Martin, Peter A. Holmans, Marianne B. M. van den Bree, Rohini Mathur, Sarah Finer Background UK South Asian populations are at high risk of physical and mental health multimorbidity, which means they live with multiple long-term conditions. The life course emergence of multimorbidity, its underlying aetiology, and consequences for future health and mortality have yet to be studied in this population. Methods and findings We studied Internalising (depression, anxiety, somatoform disorders) and Cardiometabolic (hypertension, obesity, type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease, dyslipidaemia) MultiMorbidity (ICM-MM): the lifetime occurrence of ≥1 internalising mental health condition AND ≥1 cardiometabolic condition in a longitudinal cohort of Genes and Health study participants with linked genetic and health data from 1st April 1997–24th November 2024. We used multi-state models to investigate trajectories in ICM-MM and risk of major cardiovascular or renal events (CVR) or non-CVR death. We used flexible parametric models to estimate baseline hazards for health state transitions, adjusting for sociodemographic factors, a polygenic risk score (PRS) for ICM-MM (ICM-MMPRS), and describe 10-year simulated health state probabilities. Over 10.2 years median follow-up of 23,554 British Bangladeshi and Pakistani participants (median baseline age 31.1 years, 12,934 [54.9%] women), 3,159 (13.4%) developed ICM-MM; 1,522 (6.5%) CVR; and there were 103 (0.4%) non-CVR deaths. Women were less likely to remain healthy, with higher probability of developing internalising conditions and subsequent ICM-MM, but lower risk of CVR than men. Younger age was associated with higher risk of developing internalising conditions. Bangladeshi ethnicity, higher deprivation, and smoking were all associated with higher probability of ICM-MM. 10-year CVR risk was highest for people who developed ICM-MM via the trajectory cardiometabolic-to-internalising (versus internalising-to-cardiometabolic) in mid-life (age 40). Higher ICM-MMPRS was associated with higher probability of ICM-MM via cardiometabolic conditions rather than internalising conditions. Our findings are based on routinely collected electronic health records from East London, which incompletely capture individual-level and time-varying risk factors, remission or recovery, and may not reflect British Bangladeshi and British Pakistani communities across the UK. The PRS was derived largely from GWAS of European ancestry populations, which may limit its transferability to this cohort. Conclusions The burden of multimorbidity is high in British Bangladeshi and British Pakistani populations. Young Bangladeshi women are at high risk of ICM-MM, while men are at higher risk of CVR. Detection and intervention strategies for physical and mental health multimorbidity should be targeted early in the lifecourse, for those at highest risk.

PLOS Medicine

The association of socioeconomic status and response to pediatric health behavior and lifestyle obesity treatment in Germany and Sweden: A multiyear, two-cohort observational study

by Marie Auzanneau, Resthie R. Putri, Martin Wannack, Pernilla Danielsson, Stephanie Brandt-Heunemann, Claude Marcus, Susann Weihrauch-Blüher, Stefanie Lanzinger, Emilia Hagman Background Whether socioeconomic status (SES) influences obesity treatment response among children remains unclear. This study aimed to examine the association between SES and response to health behavior and lifestyle pediatric obesity treatment over 3 years in two European countries. Methods and findings In this two-cohort study, data were obtained from the Swedish Childhood Obesity Treatment Register (BORIS) and the German/Austrian/Swiss Adiposity Patients Register (APV). SES was divided into quintiles, using individual-level indicators as a composite index in Sweden and an area-level index in Germany. Treatment response was assessed as change in body mass index standard deviation score (BMI SDS) using linear mixed-effects models, obesity remission using Cox regression, and treatment discontinuation within six months using mixed-effects logistic regression. Analyses were stratified by country and adjusted for sex, baseline obesity class, age group, and migration background.Among 45,804 children with obesity who received health behavior and lifestyle obesity treatment, 31,293 (18,588 in Sweden and 12,705 in Germany) received at least six months of treatment. In both countries, higher baseline BMI SDS was associated with lower SES, p = 0.143). In Germany, higher SES was associated with greater reductions in BMI SDS (p p p p < 0.001), whereas no association was observed in Sweden. Residual confounding due to unavailable clinical and familial characteristics could not be ruled out. Conclusions SES was associated with pediatric obesity treatment outcomes, but patterns differed between countries. While socioeconomic gradients in remission were observed in both settings, inequalities in BMI SDS reduction and treatment discontinuation were evident only in Germany, pointing to potential roles of both measurement differences and contextual factors.

PLOS Medicine

How to benchmark medical AI agents

by Silas Ruhrberg Estévez, Dyke Ferber, Mihaela van der Schaar, Jakob Nikolas Kather Medical artificial intelligence research is shifting from single-task models toward multimodal large language model-based agents for complex clinical workflows, requiring benchmarks that assess clinical reasoning, process safety, and resource stewardship rather than final outputs alone. In this Perspective article, Silas Ruhrberg Estévez and colleagues discuss why, as medical AI research shifts toward multimodal large language model-based agents for complex clinical workflows, benchmarks that assess clinical reasoning, process safety, and resource stewardship—rather than final outputs alone—are required.

PLOS Medicine

Post-stroke acute heart failure in patients with large vessel occlusion undergoing endovascular treatment: A pooled analysis of individual patient data from multicenter studies with mediation analysis

by Liyuan Chen, Jiaxing Song, Changwei Guo, Linyu Li, Tao Xu, Chen Gong, Liping Huang, Shuyu Jiang, Lin Gao, Xinyu Li, Gang Wu, Xue Wang, Thanh N. Nguyen, Jeffrey L. Saver, Yangmei Chen, Wenjie Zi, Chang Liu Background Cardiac complications rank among the leading contributors to poor outcomes in ischemic stroke patients along with the neurological impairment, while the risk stratification and prognostic significance of post-stroke acute heart failure (PSHF) remain poorly characterized. This study aimed to investigate the incidence, predictors, and impacts of PSHF in patients with large vessel occlusion stroke (LVO) undergoing endovascular treatment (EVT). Given that cardioembolic stroke inherently involves underlying cardiac pathology, a secondary aim was to test whether the effect of stroke severity on PSHF was modified by cardioembolic etiology and whether PSHF mediated the effect of stroke severity on functional outcome in these patients. Methods and findings In a pooled analysis of individual patient data from four multicenter prospective studies conducted in China between January 2014 and June 2023, we included 3,415 patients with LVO who underwent EVT. The primary outcome was very poor functional outcome, defined as 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 5–6. Multivariable regression models, interaction testing, and mediation analysis were used, with adjustment for clinically relevant covariates including demographic characteristics, vascular risk factors, baseline stroke severity, imaging characteristics, and treatment-related factors. PSHF developed in 278 patients (8.14%), with its incidence reaching peak at 1 day after stroke onset. PSHF was significantly associated with a higher rate of very poor outcome (62.23% versus 31.08%, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 3.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) [2.25, 4.24]). A significant interaction was observed between cardioembolism and the baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score (p for interaction = 0.016). Moderate-to-severe stroke significantly increased the risk of PSHF in patients with cardioembolic stroke (aOR 1.91, 95% CI [1.28, 2.87]), but not in those with non-cardioembolic stroke (aOR 0.97, 95% CI [0.81, 1.82]). Mediation analysis showed that PSHF mediated 7.70% (95% CI [2.40, 12.40]) of the effect of moderate‑to‑severe stroke on very poor outcome among cardioembolic patients. The main methodological limitations were the pooled design using studies with different protocols and the potential for residual unmeasured confounding. Conclusions PSHF was significantly associated with very poor outcome in LVO patients undergoing EVT. Moderate-to-severe cardioembolic LVO substantially elevated the risk of PSHF, with PSHF partially mediating the adverse prognostic impact of stroke severity. Early risk assessment and monitoring for PSHF may optimize management in this high-risk population.

PLOS Medicine

Hypertension and diabetes prevalence, associated factors, care cascade, and quality of life in older adults: A cross-sectional population-based study in The Gambia, South Africa, and Zimbabwe

by Anthony Muchai Manyara, Suad Abdullah, Ayaan Balshaf, Tadios Manyanga, Momodou Jallow, Etheldreda I. Yoliswa Madela, Hannah Wilson, Anya Burton, Farhanah Paruk, Chris Grundy, Camille Pearse, Tafadzwa Madanhire, Lucy Gates, Bilkish Cassim, Rashida A. Ferrand, Kate A. Ward, Celia L. Gregson Background Hypertension and diabetes prevalence are increasing across Africa. We investigated the prevalence, associated factors, achievement of stages within the care cascade (diagnosis, treatment, control), and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in three countries in Africa. Methods and findings This cross-sectional study recruited adults aged ≥40 years in five settings: rural (n = 1,052) and urban (n = 1,218) The Gambia, rural (n = 948) and urban (n = 968) South Africa (SA), and urban (n = 1,110) Zimbabwe between 2022 and 2024. Data were collected using researcher-administered questionnaires and assessments. Hypertension and diabetes were defined using self-reported diagnosis, medication use, and blood pressure and glucose measurements. HRQoL was assessed using EuroQol-5 Dimension 5 Level questionnaire, with a minimally important difference (MID) defined as half a standard deviation (SD). Diabetes complications included neuropathy, cardiovascular disease, and kidney disease. Associations between hypertension and diabetes and risk factors were assessed using study site, age, sex, educational attainment, and wealth index-adjusted Generalised Linear Mixed Effects Models. Associations between care cascade stages and HRQoL were assessed using linear models.Analysis included 5,296 adults, 53% female, and 52% age ≥60 years. Overall hypertension prevalence was 55.6% (95% confidence intervals [CI] 54.2%–56.9%); ranging from 39.6% (95% CI: 36.7–42.7) in rural The Gambia to 66.9% (64.1–69.7) in urban Zimbabwe. Overall, diabetes prevalence was 14.0% (13.1%–15.0%), ranging from 9.2% (7.6–11.0) in urban Zimbabwe to 19.4% (16.9–22.1) in rural SA. Both overweight and obesity, compared to normal weight, were associated with higher odds of hypertension (adjusted odds ratios: 1.73 (95% CI [1.47, 2.03]; p p p p p p = 0.028) in The Gambia and −0.08 (95% CI [−0.03, −0.12]; p p < 0.001). Study limitations are the cross-sectional design and reliance on single measurements of blood pressure and glucose concentrations. Conclusions The high prevalence of hypertension and diabetes in mid-age and older adults in rural and urban Africa necessitates urgent diagnostic, preventive, and control interventions. This can include interventions targeted at obesity, screening of all adults aged ≥40 years, prompt and optimal treatment for those diagnosed, and ongoing monitoring to limit complications.

PLOS Medicine

Discordance in orphan drug approvals between the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency: A retrospective observational analysis

by Jin Ding, Michael M. Hopkins, Paul A. Martin Background The United States (US) and European Union (EU) have long-established orphan drug regulations to incentivise the development of medicines for rare diseases. While the numbers of orphan approvals have risen rapidly, there is increasing discordance in regulatory outcomes between the US and EU. This discordance primarily stems from two sets of cases: US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) orphan approvals not authorised by the European Medicines Agency (EMA), and FDA orphan approvals with EMA authorisation but without orphan designation. We examined factors associated with these two sets of cases to understand the growing gap in orphan approvals between the US and EU. Methods and findings We collected data on FDA orphan drug approvals between 2011 and 2023 from the FDA Orphan Drug Designations and Approvals Database and their corresponding EMA regulatory status from EMA medicines database. We used descriptive statistical analysis to examine trends and identify discordance in outcomes between agencies. Univariable logistic regression assessed pre-specified factors associated with discordance, including therapeutic area (cancer/non-cancer), company size (large/medium/small), company headquarters location (US/EU/others) and approval period (2011–2016/2017–2023). The main methodological limitations are that the study identified associations but does not establish causality, with unmeasured factors potentially contributing to the observed discordance.Of 814 FDA orphan approvals, only 29% received corresponding EMA marketing authorisation with orphan designation. A further 38% were authorised by the EMA but without orphan status, while the remaining 33% were not authorised by the EMA. Compared with the 2011–2016 period, cases in the 2017–2023 period were associated with lower odds (OR 0.66 (95% CI [0.48,0.92]; p = 0.013)) of EMA marketing authorisation. Compared with cancer approvals, non-cancer approvals were associated with lower odds (OR 0.53 (95% CI [0.38, 0.75]; p p p = 0.001) and (OR 0.29 (95% CI [0.20, 0.43]; p p p = 0.014)) of orphan-designated marketing authorisation, respectively. EU companies were associated with higher odds (OR 1.69 (95% CI [1.17–2.43]; p = 0.005)) of receiving EMA orphan approvals compared with US companies. Conclusions Between 2011 and 2023, regulatory outcomes for orphan drug approvals increasingly diverged between the FDA and the EMA, particularly for cancer indications and approvals sponsored by small US sponsors. Among FDA orphan drugs authorised by the EMA, many were not designated as orphan products because of regulatory differences, particularly regarding requirements around significant benefit and biomarker-defined sub-populations in oncology. FDA-approved orphan drugs that lack EU marketing authorisation may be withheld by companies not because of regulatory barriers but due to insufficient commercial incentives to launch in Europe, resulting in fewer treatment options for European rare disease patients. Our findings suggest that orphan incentives are not the primary driver of commercial EU-launch decisions and that recent EU regulatory reform of these incentives may not achieve their goal of improving access to therapy for rare diseases.

PLOS Medicine

Accelerometry-measured prolonged and interrupted sedentary behavior and cancer incidence and mortality: A cohort study of 91,292 UK Biobank participants

by Ziyi Zhou, Stewart G. Trost, Gemma C. Ryde, Solange Parra-Soto, Zhe Fang, Chao Xu, Yujia Lu, Kai Wang, Mengxi Du, Zhi Li, Yuebin Lv, Jason M.R. Gill, Stuart R. Gray, Carlos Celis-Morales, Marc J. Gunter, Edward Giovannucci, Jill P. Pell, Mingyang Song, Frederick K. Ho Background Current sedentary behavior (SB) guidelines primarily emphasize total time spent sedentary. We explored differences between interrupted and prolonged SB in relation to a range of cancer outcomes. Methods and findings This study included 91,292 UK Biobank participants with valid accelerometer data. Participants were followed for a median of 12.38 years (interquartile range 11.56–13.15 years). A two-step approach based on a random forest model was used to classify SB. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were applied to overall incident cancers and cancer deaths, plus obesity-related and type-2 diabetes-related cancers, and 23 site-specific cancers. Models were adjusted for demographic, socioeconomic, lifestyle, dietary, and health-status factors, including age, ethnicity, deprivation, education, smoking, alcohol intake, diet, and morbidity count. Isotemporal substitution models were used to estimate the associated cancer risk when replacing prolonged SB with intermittent SB, or physical activity (PA). After adjusting for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, each additional hour of prolonged SB was associated with a higher risk of overall cancer mortality (hazard ratio [HR] HR1hour 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.06, 1.11]; p LPA 0.88; 95% CI [0.79, 0.99]; p = 0.033) was associated with lower risk of overall cancer mortality. Similarly, replacing 30 min per day of prolonged SB with moderate PA (HRMPA 0.92; 95% CI [0.86, 0.99]; p = 0.024) was associated with a lower risk of overall cancer mortality. The main methodological limitations were observational design, residual confounding, healthy volunteer bias, and measurement imprecision due to having only 7 days of accelerometer wear. Conclusion Cancer risk associated with SB is specific to prolonged SB. Replacing prolonged SB physical activity is associated with lower cancer risk.

PLOS Medicine

Maternal congenital heart disease and risk of child developmental vulnerability in early school age: A population-based cohort study

by Muhammad Zakir Hossin, Anne Gadermann, Edit Nagy, Randip Gill, Monique Gagné Petteni, Jonas Faxén, Neda Razaz Background While maternal congenital heart disease (CHD) is associated with increased risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes, its impact on long-term child development remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate if in-utero exposure to maternal CHD is associated with child developmental vulnerability at school entry. Methods and findings This population-based cohort study included 256,629 singleton offspring born in British Columbia, Canada between January 1, 1995 and December 31, 2016, with follow up through linkage to teacher-rated Early Development Instrument (EDI) surveys administered in kindergarten around 5–6 years of age. Over 90% children enrolled in participating schools completed the questionnaire. Developmental vulnerability was defined as a score <10th percentile in any two of the five EDI domains: physical health and wellbeing, social competence, emotional maturity, language and cognitive development, and communication and general knowledge. The association between maternal CHD and child developmental vulnerability was examined using modified Poisson regression models, adjusted for maternal age at delivery, parity, country of birth, marital status, neighborhood income quintiles, preexisting psychiatric disorders, and pre-gestational diabetes. A counterfactual four-way decomposition method was used to quantify potential mediation and moderation by preterm birth. Of the 256,629 children (51.4% female) included in the analysis, 456 (0.2%) were exposed to maternal CHD. Developmental vulnerability was identified among 25.2% children exposed to maternal CHD compared with 16.6% among the unexposed. In the adjusted model, maternal CHD was associated with 28% higher risk of developmental vulnerability (aRR 1.28; 95% CI [1.11, 1.48]) compared with no maternal CHD. The increased risk was observed across multiple developmental domains related to physical health and wellbeing (aRR 1.31; 95% CI [1.11, 1.54]), social competence (aRR 1.22; 95% CI [1.02, 1.45]), language and cognitive development (aRR 1.39; 95% CI [1.13, 1.70]), and communication and general knowledge (aRR 1.33; 95% CI [1.09, 1.63]). Preterm birth mediated only about 8% of the overall association. Severe CHD was more strongly associated with developmental vulnerability (aRR 1.98; 95% CI [1.31, 3.00]) compared to mild CHD (aRR 1.19; 95% CI [1.00, 1.42]). However, the study had limited capacity to separate intrauterine effects from potential genetic and postnatal familial influences. Some degree of CHD misclassification is possible, which would likely bias the association toward the null. Conclusions In this population-based study, maternal CHD was associated with child developmental vulnerability at school entry. While further research is required to elucidate the mechanisms, enhanced clinical monitoring and tailored support to reproductive age women with CHD may help reduce the risk of developmental vulnerability in their children.

PLOS Medicine

Precision oncology’s translation gap—Can molecular tumor boards bridge it?

by Margaret M. Byrne, Jill M. Kolesar Precision oncology is revolutionizing cancer care, but isn’t reaching enough patients. Molecular tumor boards (MTBs) translate complex genomic data to more effectively inform personalized care, and a new meta-analysis shows they boost clinical outcomes. But how can we feasibly and equitably expand the use of MTBs? Molecular tumor boards translate complex genomic data to more effectively inform personalized care, and a new meta-analysis shows they boost clinical outcomes. In this Perspective, Margaret Byrne and Jill Kolesar discuss how we may feasibly and equitably expand the use of MTBs.

PLOS Medicine

Improving suicide prevention in men

by Seena Fazel Despite public health strategies focusing on men’s mental health and suicide risk, rates of suicide among men remain concerningly high. Targeted, specialized approaches for high-risk individuals should be prioritized alongside broader population-level strategies. Despite public health strategies focusing on men’s mental health and suicide risk, rates of suicide among men remain concerningly high. In this Editorial, Seena Fazel outlines why targeted, specialized approaches for high-risk individuals should be prioritized alongside broader population-level strategies.

PLOS Medicine

Multilevel onsite training and mentorship model to accelerate early childhood cancer diagnosis in Northwest Ethiopia: A quasi-experimental mixed method study

by Mulugeta Ayalew Yimer, Alemayehu Teklu Toni, Nahom Worku Teshager, Degalem Tilahun Worku, Mulat Asrade Alemayehu, Yalew Melkamu Molla, Zewudu Andualem, Asefa Adimasu Tadesse Background Childhood cancer survival in low-income countries remains below 20%, with late recognition and delayed referral commonly reported. In Northwest Ethiopia, care providers often lack the knowledge, skills, and support systems for recognizing early warning signs of pediatric malignancies. Community caregivers often present only after symptoms become advanced. The University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital piloted a quality improvement initiative aimed at achieving earlier diagnoses. This study reports whether a multilevel onsite training and mentorship model could improve early recognition, referral practices, and timely diagnosis of childhood cancer in Northwest Ethiopia. Methods and findings From January 2024 through September 2024, a quasi-experimental pre-post, mixed-methods study design was employed across three tiers of care: primary (e.g., health centers), secondary (general hospitals), and tertiary (specialized hospitals). Eighteen primary-level and 29 secondary-level clinicians completed intensive, on-site training (Ten and Seven days, respectively), while one thousand twenty health extension workers received pictorial outreach modules. A 6-month mentorship program combined monthly onsite visits with remote supervision. Mentees included general practitioners, nurses, health officers, and health extension workers mentored by a multidisciplinary team that included, for example, pediatric haemato-oncologists. Knowledge, attitude, and practice surveys and clinical chart reviews were conducted at baseline and 6 months post-implementation to evaluate patient-journey intervals. These quantitative assessments were integrated with qualitative interviews and focus groups grounded in the consolidated framework for implementation research. The intervention utilized specific curricula focusing on clinical recognition, referral protocols, and documentation.In this study, the participants had a 100% response rate. Median knowledge scores at primary and secondary levels rose from 54.6 (95% CI: 36.4, 63.6) to 90.90 (95% CI: 81.8, 100.0) and from 36.36 (95% CI: 27.3, 45.5) to 90.91 (95% CI: 61.4, 93.7), respectively. Median practice proficiency increased 87.5 (95% CI: 78.7, 100) to 100.00 (95% CI: 100.0, 100.0) at primary level and 68.75 (95% CI: 50.0, 87.5) to 93.8 (95% CI: 86.7, 100.0) at secondary level. The median interval from symptom onset to first health contact fell by 9.3% (from 27.0 days (95% CI: 16.0, 33.3) to 24.5 days (95% CI: 15.0, 32.0)), and the time from first contact to confirmed diagnosis decreased by 54.2%. Treatment initiation interval increased by 11.9%, reflecting ongoing infrastructural constraints. Qualitative findings underscored the roles of supportive leadership, diagnostic supply limitations, cultural beliefs, and referral coordination in shaping outcomes. This quasi-experimental pre-post design without a control group limits strong causal inference, especially in the presence of potential confounders like parallel public-health initiatives and seasonal variations in care-seeking. Conclusions A context-tailored, multilevel training and mentorship model was associated with improved provider capacity and reduced diagnostic delays in Northwest Ethiopia. While the initiative demonstrated high fidelity and adaptability in conflict-affected settings, achieving timely treatment requires further investment in diagnostic infrastructure. These tools and protocols are well-positioned for national scale-up and integration into routine continuing medical education.

PLOS Medicine

The well-worn path from armed conflict to measles resurgence

by José E. Hagan Armed conflict weakens immunization, surveillance, and socioeconomic resilience, increasing measles risk during and after war. Protecting routine vaccination in crises is a core emergency response. In this Perspective, José Hagan discusses how and why weakened immunization, surveillance, and socioeconomic resilience due to armed conflict increases measles risk during and after war, and outlines why protecting routine vaccination in crises should be a core emergency response.

PLOS Medicine

Association of armed conflict and global measles cases: A structural equation modeling analysis of 193 countries from 2000 to 2023

by Tyler Y. Headley, Yesim Tozan Background Global armed conflict and population displacement are increasing, yet their association with population health remains poorly understood. We developed and tested four theoretical models linking armed conflict, population displacement, and socioeconomic development to measles burden across 193 countries from 2000 to 2023. Methods and findings We analyzed longitudinal country-level data comprising 4,632 country-year observations, combining fixed-effects panel regression and structural equation modeling (SEM). Observed variables included battle-related deaths (BRDs) and forcibly displaced population sizes, while socioeconomic development was modeled as a latent variable incorporating gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, life expectancy, and mean years of schooling. Outcomes were total measles cases and incidence per million population. All four constructed models demonstrated excellent fit (Comparative Fit Index [CFI] 0.991–0.996; Tucker–Lewis Index [TLI] 0.976–0.989; Root Mean Square Error of Approximation [RMSEA] 0.046–0.062). Higher contemporaneous BRDs were associated with higher measles cases (β = 0.17; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] [0.14, 0.20]; p p = 0.091), while the effect of prior-year BRDs was significantly associated with measles cases (β = 0.14; 95% CI [0.08, 0.20]; p p = 0.164). Each standard deviation (SD) increase in a country’s standardized log-transformed BRDs was associated with an approximately 0.20 SD increase in measles cases, equivalent to 2,500 additional reported cases for every 3,700 BRDs. In all models, BRDs had a slight negative association with socioeconomic development (β = −0.10; 95% CI [−0.13, −0.07]; p p p < 0.001). Key limitations include reliance on national-level annual aggregates, possible under-reporting of both battle-related deaths and measles cases, and the possibility of unmeasured time-varying confounders that preclude causal interpretation. Conclusions Armed conflict is associated with an increased measles burden, both directly and indirectly through associations with lower socioeconomic development and greater population displacement. These findings suggest that mitigating infectious disease risks in volatile settings requires a dual strategy: preserving the structural foundations of health and education while systematically integrating displaced populations into routine immunization programs. Future research using subnational and higher-frequency data is needed to clarify the precise mechanisms and timing of these associations across other vaccine-preventable diseases.

PLOS Medicine

Cardiovascular outcomes and safety associated with statin therapy for primary prevention in older adults with type 2 diabetes: A target trial emulation study

by Linda Chan, Wanchun Xu, Esther W. Y. Chan, Eric Yuk Fai Wan Background There is limited evidence on the use of statins for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in older adults with type 2 diabetes due to underrepresentation of this population in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). We aimed to determine the effectiveness and safety of statin therapy for primary CVD prevention among type 2 diabetes patients aged ≥75 years. Methods and findings In this cohort study, territory-wide electronic health records (EHRs) from the Hospital Authority Clinical Management System in Hong Kong were used to emulate a sequence of nested target trials. Eligible patients were included in a rolling basis in each calendar month from January 2009 to December 2015, and thus we emulated 84 ‘nested monthly trials’. In each monthly trial, all type 2 diabetes patients aged ≥60 years with elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (≥2.6 mmol/L) in the baseline calendar month were included; patients with a history of type 1 diabetes, CVDs, cancers, muscle-related disorders, or liver dysfunction were excluded from analysis. Eligible individuals were classified into statin initiators or noninitiators based on whether they initiated statin therapy at the time of enrollment. They were categorized into various age groups (60–74, 75–84, ≥85 years) for analysis, with those aged 60–74 years forming a benchmark group to test the validity of the emulated target trial. Patients were followed up until the outcome of interest, death, or the administrative end (December 2018), whichever occurred first. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) comparing statin use versus nonuse for CVDs, all-cause mortality, muscle-related adverse events (AEs), and liver dysfunction using pooled logistic models, with inverse probability weighting to adjust for time-varying confounders related to treatment adherence, under the assumption of no unmeasured confounding. Propensity score matching was performed on eligible person-trials at baseline, incorporating demographic characteristics, clinical and laboratory parameters, comorbidities, medication history, and healthcare utilization as matching variables. Among 30,804 matched person-trials aged 75–84 years, a significant reduction in the incidence of CVDs (HR 0.69 (95% CI [0.65, 0.75]; p p p p < 0.001). No substantially increased risks for muscle-related AEs or liver dysfunction were observed in both age groups. The effectiveness and safety of statins for the benchmark age group (60–74 years) were also confirmed. The remaining source of bias included the potential misclassification bias due to reliance on diagnosis coding in EHRs, as well as unmeasured confounding relating to lifestyle factors, social determinants, and information on the shared decision-making between physicians and patients. Conclusions In type 2 diabetes patients aged ≥75 years, we found that statin use was associated with reduced risks of CVDs and all-cause mortality, including those aged over 85 years. No substantially increased risks for muscle-related adverse events and liver dysfunction were observed. Future studies, including RCTs, are warranted to confirm the effectiveness and safety of statin use in older adults with diabetes, and to determine optimal statin dosing and the comparative efficacy of different statin types, thereby improving CVD prevention in this population.

PLOS Medicine

Multi-omics biomarkers of endothelial dysregulation preceding chronic lung allograft dysfunction: A prospective cohort study

by Giulia Iacono, Christina Begka, Bailey Cardwell, Carmel Daunt, Roxanne Chatzis, Celine Pattaroni, Alana Butler, Matthew Macowan, Bronwyn Levvey, Gregory I. Snell, Glen P. Westall, Benjamin J. Marsland Background Long-term survival of lung transplant recipients remains limited by chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD). CLAD is only diagnosed following a persistent and substantial decline in lung function, after which irreversible damage to the lungs has occurred, limiting opportunities to effectively intervene at an early stage. There is a critical need for earlier detection prior to its clinical manifestation. The immunological drivers of CLAD remain unclear, limiting the development of predictive biomarkers and new therapies. Methods and findings In this hypothesis-generating, prospective cohort study, we profiled the microbial, metabolic, lipidomic, and gene expression dynamics of longitudinally collected broncho-alveolar lavages (BALs) from 56 CLAD-free lung transplant recipients up to 30 months post-transplant, and compared BALs from 13 CLAD-free patients to BALs from 13 patients who developed CLAD. In CLAD-free patients, the first 6 months post-transplant were hallmarked by diminished microbial diversity and increased abundance of Staphylococcus and Candida, coupled with upregulated innate and adaptive immune responses, and elevated nitric oxide metabolism (FDR CD3, GZMA, IL2RB, CD28, CD40LG, and LCK, after tapering of maintenance immunosuppression (FDR HAPLN3, HS3ST3B1, SULF2, CHST2, CSGALNACT1, CXCR1, CSF3R, SELL, CXCL2, and CEACAM1 (FDR < 0.05), suggesting increased vascular dysfunction and immune cell graft infiltration prior to CLAD onset. Scoring against a publicly available lung single-cell dataset showed our bulk gene transcriptomics signature to be expressed by monocytes, endothelial, and T cells. In contrast to CLAD-free patients, this signature persisted after 1.5 months post-transplant and increased in intensity upon the start of lung function decline. Multi-omics integration highlighted sphingolipid molecules and genes involved in immune cell recruitment and endothelial function as candidate biomarkers associated with the onset of CLAD. This study is limited by its small sample size. Conclusions We have identified immunological processes, metabolites, lipids, and genes associated with the onset of CLAD. Our findings are to be considered associative and not aimed at establishing causality. Future studies employing a targeted approach in independent validation cohorts, using, for example, quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and targeted mass-spectrometry, will be required to confirm these findings.

PLOS Medicine

Prevalence and epidemiological patterns of <i>Neisseria gonorrhoeae</i> infection in sub-Saharan Africa, 1964–2025: Systematic review, meta-analyses, and meta-regressions

by Aisha Osman, Hina Akram, Bayan Alemrayat, Sumaya Al-Maraghi, Manale Harfouche, Laith J. Abu-Raddad Background Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG) infection is a global health concern because of its morbidity and increasing antimicrobial resistance. Sub-Saharan Africa is believed to carry a disproportionately high burden of NG infection, but the epidemiology of NG infection in this region has not been comprehensively synthesized. This study systematically reviewed and analyzed NG prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa to characterize prevalence patterns and identify populations at risk. Methods and findings A systematic review was conducted and reported following PRISMA guidelines. Embase, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched from inception to June 4, 2025. Eligible studies reported NG prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa. Random-effects meta-analyses generated pooled prevalence estimates, and random-effects meta-regression analyses identified associations and sources of heterogeneity.Nine hundred fifty publications contributed 1,604 prevalence measures spanning 1964–2025. In the general population, pooled urogenital prevalence was 3.2% (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.9–3.5), with substantial between-study heterogeneity and a wide prediction interval, indicating considerable variation in prevalence across settings. Prevalence was high in key populations: among female sex workers, 11.5% (95% CI: 9.9–13.2) for urogenital and 2.0% (95% CI: 0.4–4.5) for anorectal infection; and among men who have sex with men, 2.8% (95% CI: 2.4–3.3) for urogenital, 8.3% (95% CI: 5.8–11.0) for anorectal, and 5.7% (95% CI: 3.6–8.3) for oropharyngeal infection. Symptomatic men exhibited high urogenital prevalence (51.5%; 95% CI: 47.5–55.5), and symptomatic women showed 9.0% (95% CI: 7.7–10.4). Among women with adverse pregnancy or birth outcomes, urogenital prevalence was 8.6% (95% CI: 5.3–12.6). Meta-regression analyses explained over half of the variability in prevalence, showing a long-term decline of 1% per year, a clear population type gradient, subregional differences, and decreasing prevalence with increasing age, but no variation by sex. These findings may be affected by variability in data availability across countries, anatomical sites, and population groups, as well as heterogeneity across included studies. Conclusions NG prevalence remains markedly high in this region but has declined over time. These findings highlight the need for strengthened surveillance, expanded prevention and diagnostic strategies, and continued monitoring of gonococcal antimicrobial resistance to support effective control efforts in sub-Saharan Africa.

PLOS Medicine

Parental body mass index and offspring childhood body size and eating behaviour: A structural equation modelling analysis in the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study

by Tom A. Bond, Tom A. McAdams, Nicole M. Warrington, Laurie J. Hannigan, Espen Moen Eilertsen, Ziada Ayorech, Fartein A. Torvik, George Davey Smith, Deborah A. Lawlor, Eivind Ystrom, Alexandra Havdahl, David M. Evans Background The intergenerational transmission of obesity-related traits could propagate an accelerating cycle of obesity, if parental adiposity causally influences offspring adiposity. The extent to which intergenerational obesity associations are due to such causal effects, as opposed to genetic confounding (inheritance), is unclear. We aimed to establish whether associations between parental peri-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) and offspring birth weight (BW), BMI until 8 years of age, and 8-year-old eating behaviour are due to genetic confounding. Methods and findings Data were from the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study, a prospective population-based birth cohort born between 1999 and 2009 at 50 out of 52 hospital maternity units in Norway. We compared the strength of the associations of maternal pre-pregnancy BMI versus paternal BMI during pregnancy, with offspring outcomes including birth weight and BMI assessed between age 6 months and 8 years of age, and appetite-related eating behaviour traits assessed at age 8 years via the Child Eating Behaviour Questionnaire (CEBQ), adjusting for potential confounders including parity, parental/grandparental language group and parental age, smoking, education and income). We then used an extended children of twins structural equation model (SEM) to quantify the extent to which associations were due to genetic confounding. Up to 85,866 children (51.3% male) were included in linear regression models, whereas SEM models included up to 50,999 children. Maternal BMI was more strongly associated than paternal BMI with offspring BW, but the maternal-paternal difference decreased for offspring BMI after birth. Greater parental BMI was associated with obesity-related offspring eating behaviours. SEM results indicated that genetic confounding did not explain the association between parental BMI and offspring BW, but explained the majority of the association with offspring BMI from 6 months onwards. For 8-year BMI, genetic confounding explained 79% (95% CI [62, 95]; p = 1.9 × 10−12) of the covariance with maternal BMI and 94% (95% CI [72, 113]; p = 2.7 × 10−14) of the covariance with paternal BMI. Limitations of this study include selective recruitment and attrition, potential bias due to parental assortative mating, and that findings may not generalise beyond high-income country settings with high obesity prevalence. Conclusions We found strong evidence that parent–child BMI associations may primarily be due to genetic confounding. When considered alongside prior evidence, this finding may argue against a strong causal effect of maternal or paternal adiposity on childhood adiposity via intrauterine or periconceptional mechanisms.

PLOS Medicine

Comparisons of core component delivery in cardiac rehabilitation programs by country income classification and decade based on the 2025 Global Audit Update: A survey study

by Gabriela Lima de Melo Ghisi, Rachael P. Carson, Karam Turk Adawi, Rongjing Ding, Warner M. Mampuya, Mariya P. Jiandani, Jimena Martinez, Monserrat Cruz Rivero, Claudia V. Anchique, Dinah L. van Schalkwijk, Jonathan Gallagher, Buket Akinci, Dion Candelaria, Jirapa Champaiboon, Daniel F. Quesada-Chaves, Tone M. Norekvål, Iwona Szadkowska, Borut Jug, Evangelia Kouidi, Marta Supervia, Won-Seok Kim, Chamila Mettananda, Lilian Mbau, Gulsim T. Aimakova, Sherry L. Grace, on behalf of the ICCPR Global Cardiac Rehabilitation Audit Update Investigators Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains a leading global health burden. Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is essential to reducing morbidity and improving patient outcomes. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, CR delivery worldwide has evolved, yet these changes have not been systematically charactemkjrized. The objective of this study was to characterize globally: (1) the delivery of core CR components, including risk factors assessed, patient education practices, and program resources; (2) differences in these elements by country income classification and relative to the initial 2016 Global CR Audit. Methods and findings A cross-sectional Audit update was conducted. Program-level data were collected from May 1st to September 1st 2025 using a REDCap survey adapted from previous Audits. Eligible respondents were leads of phase II/post-discharge CR programs providing at least an initial assessment, structured aerobic exercise, and ≥1 additional core component. ICCPR associations and local leaders supported program identification. Main outcomes were core components delivered (10 assessed), risk factors assessed (14 assessed), patient education dose (hours/patient/program), and program resources (17 assessed). Generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) tested differences by income classification and (when applicable) changes since 2016. Of 7,025 programs identified globally, 1,505 (62% median country response rate) initiated a survey from 90/113 (80%) countries with CR. The median number of core components offered was 8/program (p25, p75 = 6, 10), with upper-middle income countries offering significantly more components overall (median = 9), and also high-income countries offering more than low-income countries (8 versus 6, p p p p p = 0.01). Globally, gym space, resistance training equipment, and individual assessment/counseling space were the most common resources (all >90%; median = 11; p25, p75 = 8, 14). Resource availability differed significantly by country income class (GLMM p p 2 were more available in 2025, and the availability of administrative office space and group education room less so (ps < .01). Limitations include potential selection and ascertainment bias from incomplete program identification as well as variable, modest program response rates, limited representation from low-income settings, reliance on self-reported survey data, as well as measurement differences across Audit cycles, which may affect generalizability and precision of findings. Conclusions CR programs worldwide continue to deliver guideline-concordant care, with education potentially shifting modality. However, modest inequities persist for resource-constrained programs.

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