ReliefWeb Updates
중도 성향
기타
Philippines: Mayon Volcano Summary of 24Hr Observation 2 June 2026 12:00 AM [EN/TL]
Country: Philippines Source: Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology Please refer to the attached Infographic.
🌐 국제기구 · "OBS" · 총 61건
필터 보기현재 지수
50.0
0 = 부정 우세
50 = 중립
100 = 긍정 우세
최근 7일 기준 5,683건을 분석한 결과, 뉴스 심리지수는 50.0(균형)입니다. 긍정 0건(0.0%)·중립 5,683건(100.0%)·부정 0건(0.0%)이며, 중립 비중이 뚜렷하게 높습니다. 성향 지수는 종합 0.0(중도 균형)입니다.
Country: Philippines Source: Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology Please refer to the attached Infographic.
Country: Afghanistan Source: World Food Programme Please refer to the attached file. Highlights Exchange Rate and Trade Dynamics: During the fourth week of May, the Afghani exchange rate remained stable at AFN 63.8/USD, while remaining stronger than both last year and the three-year average, helping to moderate the impact of imported inflation on domestic markets. Market supply conditions remained generally stable, supported by ongoing domestic harvests and continued imports through regional trade corridors. However, transportation costs, regional trade uncertainties, and high import dependence continue to pose risks to market stability and contribute to localized price fluctuations. Food Items: Overall, national average food prices remained relatively stable during the fourth week of May, with moderate week-on-week declines across major food commodities. However, compared to last year, most key food commodities continue to remain above year-ago levels, particularly wheat grain (+14%), wheat flour (high-price +9%; low-price +12%), rice (high-quality +38%; low-quality +28%), cooking oil (+4%), sugar (+25%), and salt (+10%). Meanwhile, pulses (-12%) and bread (-4%), remain below their respective levels from the same period last year. The higher year-on-year prices reflect increases recorded between Oct-25 and Mar-26 following border closures with Pakistan and the rerouting of trade through Iran and Central Asia. Since then, improved trade flows and market availability have gradually contributed to declining price levels. Vegetables: Vegetable prices continued their seasonal decline, supported by increased domestic production and improved market availability. Tomato prices recorded a significant weekly decrease of 18.5%, while potato prices declined by 2.3%. In contrast, onion prices increased by 4.6%, partially reversing the declines observed in recent months and moving back toward more typical seasonal levels. Compared to last year, tomato prices remain 20% lower and onion prices 35% lower, while potato prices continue to remain substantially above last year’s level (+24%). Increased arrivals of seasonal produce from several provinces, continued to improve market availability and support downward price movements across major markets. Non-Food Items: Diesel prices increased slightly during the week (+1.3%) and remained 14% above last year's level. Fertilizer prices remained broadly stable, with DAP increasing by 0.8% and urea by 0.3% compared to the previous week. Compared to last year, fertilizer prices continue to remain elevated, particularly for urea (+45%) and DAP (+16%), maintaining pressure on agricultural production costs. Improved seed and animal feed prices remained largely unchanged during the week. Livestock and Labour Market: The price of a one-year-old female sheep increased by 6.0%, driven by stronger demand ahead of Eid-ul-Adha, when livestock purchases typically increase across the country. Meanwhile, labour market conditions remained weak during the week, with labour availability declining slightly to 1.9 days per week, compared to the previous week. Labour availability remains substantially below both last year (-20%) and the three-year average (-16%), reflecting continued constraints in employment opportunities and increased competition among casual labourers.
Country: Haiti Source: REACH Initiative Please refer to the attached file. 2. Justification 2.1 Contexte et informations générales En 2026, la crise humanitaire en Haïti s’est encore aggravée, avec une intensification des besoins et une fragilisation accrue des services essentiels. Les violences armées, désormais étendues au-delà de la zone métropolitaine de Port-au-Prince vers les provinces, ont provoqué le déplacement forcé de près d’1,4 million de personnes, soit environ 12 % de la population haïtienne2. L’ouragan Melissa, survenu en octobre 2025, a accentué cette vulnérabilité en détruisant ou endommageant plus de 842 000 habitations et infrastructures vitales, perturbant durablement les moyens de subsistance3. Dans ce contexte, les Haïtiens demeurent exposés à une insécurité persistante, à des violences basées sur le genre d’une ampleur alarmante, et à des phénomènes climatiques extrêmes qui dépassent les capacités de réponse du pays. Les conséquences de cette insécurité généralisée se traduisent par une détérioration dramatique du système de santé. Depuis 2025, seuls 10 % des établissements disposant de capacités d’hospitalisation restent pleinement opérationnels et à Port-au-Prince, où vivent près de 3 millions de personnes, ce chiffre n’atteint que 11 %4. Les services obstétricaux et néonataux d’urgence sont notamment particulièrement affectés, tandis que la résurgence du choléra et la propagation de la dengue aggravent les risques sanitaires dans les zones dépourvues d’accès à l’eau potable et à l’assainissement. Parallèlement, plus de 225 000 Haïtiens5 ont été expulsés vers leur pays depuis le début de l’année, majoritairement en provenance de la République dominicaine, accentuant la pression sur des communautés déjà fragilisées. Sur le plan alimentaire, la situation atteint un seuil critique. Environ 5,83 millions de personnes vivent une insécurité alimentaire aiguë, dont 1,9 million en phase d’urgence (Phase 4 de l’IPC), plaçant Haïti parmi les crises de la faim les plus graves au monde6. Les hausses des prix du carburant ,29 % pour l’essence et 37 % pour le diesel, ont entraîné une augmentation des coûts de transport et de distribution, dépassant parfois 50 %, ce qui accentue la pression sur des prix alimentaires déjà élevés7. Malgré un léger ralentissement de l’inflation (22,1 % en février 2026), les ménages continuent de recourir à des stratégies d’adaptation érosives, tandis que la faiblesse de la production agricole et les contraintes d’accès aux intrants maintiennent le pays dans une insécurité alimentaire chronique.8 Ainsi, l’année 2026 s’inscrit dans une trajectoire de crise multidimensionnelle où se conjuguent violence armée, effondrement des services de base, déplacements massifs et vulnérabilités économiques. Les perspectives de stabilité demeurent fragiles, alors que les populations haïtiennes affrontent simultanément les menaces de la faim, de la maladie et de l’exclusion sociale, dans un contexte où les capacités nationales et internationales peinent à répondre à l’ampleur des besoins.
Country: Myanmar Sources: Health Cluster, World Health Organization Highlights Ongoing surge in deadly attacks on health care with 73 incidents reported by Insecurity Insight between 1 January and 31 May 2026, as compared to 38 verified attacks on health care recorded by WHO’s Surveillance System for Attacks on Health Care (SSA). Use of heavy weapons continues to be the highest reported type of incident, followed by obstruction, psychological violence and removal of assets. Health Cluster will conduct SSA awareness sessions to encourage partners to report any attack on health care directly in the online system. Intensification of airstrikes and drone attacks in Chin, Magway, Rakhine, and Sagaing as well as Kachin, Karenni and northern Shan, severely impeding access to health care and transport of medical supplies. Lack of vector control and bednets are triggering a malaria surge in Chin, Kachin, and Tanintharyi. Because of inadequate testing and treatment, malaria outbreaks are able to rapidly expand. Acute Watery Diarrhoea (AWD) outbreaks resulting from poor hygiene practices in Karen, Karenni, Mon, Sagaing, and Southern Shan. Lack of testing and awareness is leading to rapid spread of the disease. Joint Health-Nutrition-WASH Cluster AWD Action Planning at sub-national level ongoing as part of monsoon preparedness - Measles preparedness in Rakhine stepped up after continuing largescale measles outbreak in neighbouring Bangladesh: ongoing training of health workers on diagnosis and treatment of measles cases, and continuing advocacy for urgent, large-scale immunization, after 5 years of zero vaccination.
Country: Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Source: Famine Early Warning System Network Please refer to the attached file. Key Messages Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected to persist countrywide through September, despite gradual macroeconomic improvements. Most poor households remain able to meet their minimum food needs, but face difficulties meeting their essential non-food needs due to extremely high food inflation in local currency and limited purchasing power. However, pockets of poor households – mainly in informal settlements around urban areas – with limited to no sources of income in USD and/or limited to no access to social safety net programs are likely to experience Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes. These households’ incomes in VED are insufficient to cover the rising cost of food, resulting in food consumption gaps or the use of negative coping strategies, without reaching the necessary threshold to change the area-level classification in any state. Macroeconomic conditions are stabilizing, but progress remains slow and incremental. Between March and April, the official exchange rate depreciated by 13.6 percent to 480.76 VED/USD while the parallel market exchange rate appreciated by 2 percent to 645.72 VED/USD. The gap between the official and parallel rates narrowed to 30 percent, declining 10 percentage points from March, supported by improved foreign currency availability throughout the Venezuelan economy. The monthly inflation rate slowed for the third consecutive month (to 10.6 percent), while the annual inflation rate was 611.9 percent (decreasing 37 percentage points from March). In April, the cost of the minimum survival ration (consisting of maize flour, rice, pasta, and oil) continued to increase in local currency at a pace similar to February and March, and increased by 11.5 percent in USD, reversing the downward trend reported last month. These increases reflect exchange rate pressures, high operational costs, increased consumer demand linked to increased social safety net benefits, speculation, and a perception of improving economic conditions, linked to stronger foreign currency inflows. Oil sector performance remained strong in April. Crude oil production exceeded 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in April, according to OPEC, marking the highest output since January 2019. Crude oil export volumes also remained above 1 million bpd, reaching levels not observed since 2018. International benchmark prices have continued to vary, but averaged 110 USD/barrel (Brent) and 104 USD/barrel (WTI) through May 18, supporting increased foreign currency inflows and government revenues, which continue to finance social safety net benefits. Increased foreign currency inflows are reducing the gap between the official and parallel market exchange rates as the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) interventions continue to add hard currency into circulation via sales to private banks. In April, weekly intervention amounts ranged between 180 and 450 million USD, sold at an exchange rate of 570.75 VED/USD. According to the BCV, total interventions in May are expected to reach 1.35 billion USD at an exchange rate of 611.00 VED/USD. For eligible households, recent increases in social safety net benefits are improving financial access to food. Although the minimum salary remains unchanged, the Ingreso Contra la Guerra Económica (ICGE) increased an additional 33.3 percent from 150 USD in April to 200 USD in May. Given the persistent gap between the official and parallel market exchange rates, the indexed value of 200 USD is equivalent to slightly less than 150 USD on the parallel market. This amount remains sufficient to cover the minimum survival ration estimated in April to cost 95.90 USD for a household of four and to also cover a portion of essential non-food expenditures. No Comités Locales de Abastecimiento y Producción (CLAP) in-kind food assistance distributions were reported in May.
Country: Ghana Source: World Bank Washington, 28th May 2026 - The World Bank today approved $500 million in financing for the Ghana Market Access and Connectivity Project (GMACP), a major initiative to improve rural road connectivity, strengthen agricultural value chains, expand economic opportunities, and create short-term direct jobs for rural communities across Ghana. Poor road conditions and inadequate maintenance have long constrained rural livelihoods in Ghana — limiting market access, driving up transport costs, and contributing to significant post-harvest losses. The project directly addresses these challenges by rehabilitating and maintaining critical feeder roads in selected regions, improving all-season connectivity between rural production areas and urban markets, and enabling farmers to reach buyers more efficiently, transition into higher-value agricultural activities, and unlock local job and income opportunities along agricultural value chains. "This project will improve access to markets and opportunities for rural communities while strengthening Ghana's agricultural competitiveness and resilience," said Robert Taliercio, World Bank Division Director for Ghana, Liberia, and Sierra Leone*. “It will directly benefit more than 550,000 people — including approximately 350,000 farmers, 250,000 women, and 310,000 youth. It is also expected to generate some 25,000 short-term direct jobs through civil works and road maintenance activities.”* To be implemented over five years by the Ministry of Roads and Highways, the GMACP project will support the rehabilitation and maintenance of more than 1,000 kilometers of rural roads across four clusters spanning the Upper West, Northern, Savannah, Oti, Volta, Eastern, Ashanti, Bono, and Western regions. These areas are major producers of priority crops — including maize, rice, yam, and cassava — that are central to Ghana's food security but remain constrained by poor market connectivity. Improved all-season access aims to reduce transport costs, shorten travel times, increase supply reliability, and open larger markets to smallholder farmers, ultimately reducing post-harvest losses, strengthening agricultural value chains, and contributing to lower food prices and improved food security. The GMACP incorporates climate-resilient design to ensure roads and drainage systems can withstand climate risks over the long term. Sustainability is a central pillar of the project: it will operationalize the Road Maintenance Trust Fund (RMTF) and introduce Performance-Based Contracts for road maintenance, while providing technical assistance to strengthen institutional capacity and ensure that rehabilitated roads remain functional well beyond project completion. PRESS RELEASE NO: 2026/073/AFW Contacts In Accra: Kennedy Fosu, (233) 302-221 4142 kfosu@worldbank.org
Country: Chad Source: International Organization for Migration Please refer to the attached Infographic. The International Organization for Migration’s Emergency Tracking Tool aims to collect information on sudden and significant population movements, mainly triggered by security and climate-related emergencies. This information is collected through key informant interviews and direct observations. This dashboard provides an overview of confirmed movements in the Lac Province between 2 and 13 March 2026. In March 2026, the Lake Province experienced security incidents, leading to population movements. Three confirmed displacement alerts identified a total of 3,920 internally displaced persons across 867 households.
Countries: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Belgium, Egypt, France, Germany, Italy, Morocco, Netherlands, Sudan Source: International Organization for Migration Please refer to the attached file. This report provides insights into the profiles, experiences, needs, routes travelled and intentions of migrants transiting through Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). Data were collected from 1 to 30 April 2026. IOM carried out a route observation exercise in the Republika Srpska, Sarajevo Canton, Posavina Canton, Tuzla Canton, Bosnian-Podrinje Canton and Una Sana Canton to monitor trends in entries and exits as well as transit modalities within BiH. IOM also surveyed 108 migrants in active transit locations such as bus stops or at key entry and exit locations throughout the country as well as 333 migrants in two transit reception centres (TRCs) in BiH (Ušivak, and Blažuj).
Countries: Ukraine, Belarus, Bulgaria, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Türkiye Source: UN Department of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs Drone strike in Romania underscores growing risk of spillover of the war in Ukraine, Security Council hears Madam President, Excellencies, Only last week, the Secretary-General alerted this Council to the serious risk of further escalation of the war in Ukraine, including to the broader region. Last Friday, a dangerous incident crystallized our oft-stated warnings about potential spillover of the war. On the night of 28 to 29 May, an armed drone exploded on the top floor of a ten-story residential building in the eastern Romanian city of Galaţi, injuring two residents, a woman and a child. This was not the first reported breach of Romanian airspace by an armed drone since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. However, it was the first time such an incident resulted in casualties. The United Nations does not have any additional information on the strike in Galaţi. But Friday’s incident came on the heels of a worrying trend of drone incursions into the airspaces and territorial waters of countries bordering either Ukraine or the Russian Federation. Over the past 12 months, such incidents have been reported by the authorities in Moldova, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Finland, Poland, Kazakhstan, and Belarus, as well as in countries in the wider region - Bulgaria, Greece and Türkiye. Madam President, The United Nations strongly condemns all attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure. Such attacks, wherever they occur, violate international humanitarian law and must cease immediately. Civilians must be protected at all times. Madam President, The Galaţi incident comes amidst a sharp escalation of large-scale missile and drone attacks by the armed forces of the Russian Federation on Ukrainian towns and cities, resulting in ever worsening toll of civilian casualties and destruction of civilian infrastructure. There has also been a marked increase in Ukrainian attacks on military, energy and industrial infrastructure in the Russian Federation, which have reportedly resulted in a growing number of civilian casualties and damage to civilian infrastructure. As the Secretary-General stressed last week, the dangerous trajectory of escalation and intensification that we are witnessing today, risks getting out of control. The current course must change. Madam President, The risk of miscalculation is particularly dangerous for the safety of nuclear facilities. Such risk has only increased in recent days. On 30 May, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) was informed by the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant that a drone struck a turbine building at the site, reportedly causing a hole in its wall. This was the first such attack within the Plant’s perimeter since April 2024. Yesterday, the IAEA team at the site observed damage to the exterior of a turbine building, noting that it appeared consistent with the impact of a drone. We echo the deep concern expressed by the IAEA Director-General over this serious incident that endangered key nuclear safety principles. Attacks on nuclear sites are reckless and unacceptable. They must stop immediately to prevent any risk of a nuclear accident. Madam President, Amidst heightened tensions, it is incumbent on all concerned to act responsibly and to refrain from any action that could destabilize the situation further. As the Secretary-General emphasized last week, we urgently need immediate steps towards de-escalation, leading to a full and unconditional ceasefire. To that end, we urge dialogue and negotiations to resume at once. Diplomacy needs to be given a meaningful chance to create conditions for achieving peace in Ukraine. A peace that is just, lasting and comprehensive - in line with the Charter of the United Nations, international law, and relevant UN resolutions. A peace that contributes to a more stable regional and international environment. The United Nations will continue to fully support all meaningful efforts to that end. Thank you.
Countries: Honduras, Colombia, Cuba, Ecuador, Haiti, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Source: UN High Commissioner for Refugees Please refer to the attached file. Operational Context & Analysis Honduras faces a multifaceted crisis stemming from a context of fragile law and order, pervasive organized crime, gang violence, widespread poverty and inequality, and high vulnerability to the impacts of extreme climate events. With one of the world’s highest murder rates1, violence in Honduras is generalized, chronic, structural, and indiscriminate, making it a primary driver of displacement. Access to protection and assistance remains a significant challenge, particularly for those facing heightened risks due to their vulnerability. Certain groups are disproportionately affected, including children, women, indigenous people, people of diverse sexual orientation, political activists, schoolteachers, transportation workers, and human rights and environmental defenders. These populations often require urgent and tailored protection responses and alternatives to address their specific needs effectively. More than 247,000 people have been internally displaced in Honduras, with many more at risk of displacement. Internal displacement in the country stems from generalized violence and rights violations, including (i) social and territorial control by gangs, drug trafficking or organized crime groups, (ii) extortion, (iii) forced recruitment, use and association, particularly targeting youth; (iv) dispossession and destruction of housing, land, and property; (v) gender-based violence; and (vi) political violence. These multifaceted challenges faced by the Honduran population are starkly reflected in the significant number of Hondurans seeking asylum. During 2024, 27,888 Honduran nationals sought asylum in México, ranking as the first nationality of asylum requests to this country3 and in 2025 remain in the top five nationalities4. These figures underscore the life-threatening situations that force people to flee Honduras. Additionally, in 2024, 44,394 Hondurans were returned to their country of origin, and from January to December 2025, this figure reached 41,110 people, 7% of whom were identified as having protection needs in Honduras and 14% who had requested protection outside their country. Since 2022, Honduras has also been a transit country for an unprecedented number of refugees and migrants. However, the dynamics changed significantly in 2025. Unlike the unprecedented south to north flows observed in 2023 and 2024, 2025 saw a notable reduction of 89% in entries. According to the Honduran National Migration Institute (INM), between January and December 2025, 39,384 people entered the country irregularly, south to north route6. Meanwhile, according to UNHCR and partners, it is estimated that over 32,200 refugees and migrants have travelled from north to south.
Countries: World, Argentina, Barbados, Brazil, Chile, Cuba, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Panama, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Uruguay Source: International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies Panama City, 1 June 2026 — Although forecasts point to a below-average hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean, the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) today recalled that high cyclonic activity is expected in the eastern Pacific. The organization called for sustained investment in preparedness, anticipatory action and early warning systems across more than 25 countries1 in Central America, North America and the Caribbean that are exposed to tropical cyclones. For the 2026 season in the Atlantic basin, which runs from 1 June to 30 November, the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasts, with a 55 per cent probability, below-average cyclonic activity relative to the historical average of 14 named storms and seven hurricanes. This year, NOAA notes, there would be between eight and 14 named storms. Of these, three to six would become hurricanes, including one to three major hurricanes — that is, Category 3 or higher. By contrast, the agency forecasts, with a 70 per cent probability, a more active season in the eastern Pacific Ocean, where it predicts between 15 and 22 named storms, of which nine to 14 would become hurricanes and five to nine of those would reach major hurricane strength. "We will say it again and again: a single storm is enough to destroy communities, overwhelm public services, and displace and endanger hundreds of thousands of people," said Cristian Torres, Deputy Regional Director of the IFRC for the Americas. "Forecasts are critical so that we can act before disasters strike, but beyond knowing how many storms there will be, it is essential to reduce people's vulnerability, expand the coverage of early warning systems, and develop, fund and test inter-agency protocols that protect them from the multiple hazards they face," he added. As part of its commitment to preparedness, the IFRC has already prepositioned in Panama, Santo Domingo and other strategic locations across the region enough relief supplies to provide immediate assistance to up to 60,000 people affected by a large-scale emergency. The stock includes hygiene and kitchen kits, mosquito nets, tarpaulins, cleaning and construction tools, solar lamps, water treatment units and water purification supplies, among other items. Aware that mobilizing humanitarian aid in record time requires the participation, knowledge and collaboration of multiple actors, the IFRC also relies on simulation exercises as a critical tool to test crisis and disaster response mechanisms and protocols. The most recent, held this past May, aimed to measure and improve mobilization times, customs procedures and the inter-agency response capacity of El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras in the face of potential flooding caused by hurricanes. The exercise involved mobilizing Red Cross water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) specialist teams and equipment across these three countries. The initiative brought together civil protection, customs and foreign affairs authorities, along with the National Red Cross Societies. It was supported by European Union humanitarian funding and the German Red Cross, and was carried out within the framework of the Regional Mechanism for International Humanitarian Assistance, the instrument of the Central American Integration System (SICA) for organizing, facilitating and coordinating humanitarian assistance among its member countries. Another of the preparedness measures driven by the IFRC ahead of the hurricane season is the adoption of early action protocols. These protocols bring together measures agreed in advance among communities, authorities, and the Red Cross, which are triggered when certain risk thresholds are reached. Depending on the context, these actions may include cash transfers ahead of an emergency to protect homes and livelihoods, the relocation of essential goods, the reinforcement of critical infrastructure, or the evacuation of people in situations of greater vulnerability. When these systems work, communities receive timely alerts, authorities have more time to coordinate evacuations, and humanitarian teams can mobilize aid before the impact occurs. In Central America alone, the IFRC currently has five early action protocols for floods and tropical storms, financially supported by its Disaster Response Emergency Fund (IFRC-DREF). "Prepositioning relief items, simulation exercises and early action protocols make it possible to protect lives, reduce economic losses and speed up recovery after a disaster," Torres explained. "But rules can also save lives and build community resilience, which is why we call on all countries in the region to advance the international treaty for the protection of persons in disaster situations, currently under consultation at the United Nations." This treaty seeks to ensure that the protection of people exposed to or affected by disasters does not depend on chance, but on clear commitments and coordinated action. Its adoption, expected in 2027, would facilitate international cooperation and reduce the obstacles that can delay the arrival of aid. It would also improve the conditions for Red Cross Societies, as auxiliary to the public powers, to continue assisting the most vulnerable people: women, girls, older people, people on the move or with disabilities, and communities affected by violence and poverty. This season, shaped by the influence of the coming El Niño phenomenon, illustrates how risk can shift and take different forms across the continent. While Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti and the Dominican Republic continue to recover from hurricanes Beryl, Oscar, Rafael and Melissa, other areas face different threats. The Central American Dry Corridor, parts of Chile and areas of the Andean region are bracing for possible droughts, while Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay anticipate heavy rains and flooding. In all of them, Red Cross teams are already working with communities to get ready. Against this backdrop, where climate, health and social risks accumulate and overlap with growing frequency, the IFRC calls for investing without delay in measures that enable States, communities and the Red Cross itself to better protect people in the face of multi-hazard scenarios. Because, as underscored at IFRC's recent XXXIII Pre-Hurricane and Recurrent Hazards Conference, when risks pile up, the difference between a hazard and a humanitarian crisis is usually decided before the impact — in the level of preparedness already in place, and in the capacity to act before the disaster occurs. For more information: [email protected] In Panama: Susana Arroyo +50769993199 In Geneva: Paolo Cravero +41 79 894 83 96
Countries: World, Argentina, Barbados, Brazil, Chile, Cuba, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Panama, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Uruguay Source: International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies Ciudad de Panamá, 1 de junio — Aunque los pronósticos apuntan a una temporada de huracanes por debajo del promedio en el océano Atlántico, la Federación Internacional de Sociedades de la Cruz Roja y de la Media Luna Roja (IFRC) recordó hoy que se prevé una alta actividad ciclónica en el Pacífico oriental. La organización llamó a mantener la inversión en preparación, acción anticipatoria y sistemas de alerta temprana en más de 25 países2 de América Central, América del Norte y el Caribe expuestos a ciclones tropicales. Para la temporada 2026 en la cuenca atlántica, que va del 1 de junio al 30 de noviembre, la Administración Nacional Oceánica y Atmosférica de Estados Unidos (NOAA) prevé, con 55 por ciento de probabilidad, una actividad ciclónica por debajo del promedio histórico de 14 tormentas con nombre y siete huracanes. Este año, apunta NOAA, habría entre ocho y 14 tormentas nombradas. De estas, entre tres y seis se convertirían en huracanes, incluyendo entre uno y tres huracanes mayores, es decir, de categoría tres o superior. En contraste, la agencia prevé, con un 70 por ciento de probabilidad, una temporada más activa en el océano Pacífico oriental, donde pronostica entre 15 y 22 tormentas con nombre, de las cuales entre nueve y 14 se convertirían en huracanes, y entre cinco y nueve de ellos en huracanes mayores. “Lo repetiremos una y otra vez: una tormenta basta para destruir comunidades, colapsar servicios públicos y desplazar y poner en peligro a cientos de miles de personas”, afirmó Cristian Torres, director regional adjunto de la IFRC para las Américas. “Los pronósticos son críticos para que actuemos antes de que los desastres sucedan, pero además de saber cuántas tormentas habrá, es indispensable reducir la vulnerabilidad de las personas, ampliar la cobertura de los sistemas de alerta temprana, y desarrollar, financiar y probar protocolos interinstitucionales que las protejan de las múltiples amenazas a las que están expuestas”, añadió. Como parte de su compromiso con la preparación, la IFRC ya tiene almacenada en Panamá, Santo Domingo y otros puntos estratégicos de la región suficiente ayuda humanitaria para asistir de forma inmediata a hasta 60.000 personas afectadas por una emergencia de gran magnitud. El stock incluye kits de higiene y de cocina, mosquiteros, lonas, herramientas de limpieza y construcción, lámparas solares, plantas potabilizadoras e insumos para la purificación de agua, entre otros. Consciente de que movilizar la ayuda humanitaria en tiempo récord requiere la participación, el conocimiento y la colaboración de múltiples actores, la IFRC apuesta también por los simulacros como una herramienta crítica para poner a prueba los mecanismos y protocolos de respuesta a crisis y desastres. El más reciente, celebrado en mayo pasado, tuvo como objetivo medir y mejorar los tiempos de movilización, los procesos aduaneros y la capacidad de respuesta interinstitucional de El Salvador, Guatemala y Honduras ante posibles inundaciones provocadas por huracanes. El ejercicio de simulación consistió en movilizar, a través de esos tres países, equipos especializados en agua, saneamiento e higiene (WASH) de la Cruz Roja. En esta iniciativa participaron los entes rectores de protección civil, las autoridades de aduanas y relaciones exteriores y las Sociedades Nacionales de la Cruz Roja. Apoyado por la Cruz Roja Alemana y fondos humanitarios de la Unión Europea, el simulacro se enmarcó en el Mecanismo Regional de Asistencia Humanitaria Internacional, el instrumento del Sistema de la Integración Centroamericana para organizar, facilitar y articular la asistencia humanitaria en sus países miembros. Otra de las acciones de preparación impulsadas por la IFRC ante la temporada de huracanes es la adopción de protocolos de acción anticipatoria. Estos protocolos agrupan medidas previamente acordadas entre las comunidades, las autoridades y la Cruz Roja, que se activan cuando se alcanzan determinados umbrales de riesgo. Dependiendo del contexto, estas acciones pueden incluir transferencias de efectivo antes de la emergencia para proteger viviendas y medios de vida, el traslado de bienes esenciales, el refuerzo de infraestructuras críticas o la evacuación de personas en situación de mayor vulnerabilidad. Cuando estos sistemas funcionan, las comunidades reciben alertas oportunas, las autoridades cuentan con más tiempo para coordinar evacuaciones y los equipos humanitarios pueden movilizar ayuda antes de que ocurra el impacto. Actualmente, la IFRC tiene, sólo en Centroamérica, cinco protocolos de acción temprana ante inundaciones y tormentas tropicales que cuentan con apoyo financiero de su Fondo de Emergencia para la Respuesta a Desastres (IFRC-DREF). “El preposicionamiento de ayuda humanitaria, los simulacros y los protocolos de acción anticipatoria permiten proteger vidas, reducir pérdidas económicas y acelerar la recuperación tras el desastre”, explicó Torres. “Pero las normas también pueden salvar vidas y construir resiliencia comunitaria, por eso hacemos un llamado a todos los países de la región a impulsar el tratado internacional para la protección de las personas en situaciones de desastre, que se encuentra en consulta en las Naciones Unidas”. Este tratado busca que la protección de las personas expuestas a desastres o afectadas por ellos no dependa del azar, sino de compromisos claros y acciones coordinadas. Su aprobación, prevista para 2027, facilitaría la cooperación internacional y reduciría los obstáculos que pueden retrasar la llegada de la ayuda. Además, mejoraría las condiciones para que las Sociedades de la Cruz Roja, como auxiliares de los Estados, sigan asistiendo a las personas en mayor vulnerabilidad: mujeres, niñas, personas mayores, personas en situación de movilidad o con discapacidad y comunidades afectadas por la violencia y la pobreza. Esta temporada, marcada por la influencia del fenómeno de El Niño, ilustra cómo el riesgo puede desplazarse y adoptar distintas formas a lo largo del continente. Mientras Granada, San Vicente y las Granadinas, Barbados, Jamaica, Cuba, Haití y República Dominicana continúan recuperándose de los huracanes Beryl, Óscar, Rafael y Melissa, otras regiones enfrentan amenazas diferentes. El corredor seco centroamericano, parte de Chile y zonas de la región andina se preparan para posibles sequías, mientras que Argentina, Brasil y Uruguay anticipan lluvias intensas e inundaciones. En estos países los equipos locales de la Cruz Roja ya están preparando a las comunidades. En este marco, donde los riesgos climáticos, sanitarios y sociales se acumulan y se superponen con creciente frecuencia, la IFRC hace un llamado a invertir sin dilación en medidas que permitan a los Estados, las comunidades y a la propia Cruz Roja proteger mejor a la población frente a escenarios multiamenaza. Porque, como se recalcó en la XXIII Conferencia Pre-Huracanes y de Amanezas Recurrentes de la IFRC, cuando los riesgos se acumulan, la diferencia entre una amenaza y una crisis humanitaria suele definirse antes del impacto. Está en el nivel de preparación existente y en la capacidad de actuar antes de que ocurra el desastre. Para más información: [email protected] En Panamá: Susana Arroyo +50769993199 En Ginebra: Paolo Cravero +41 79 894 83 96
Country: World Source: Pan American Health Organization Please refer to the attached file. Regional situation: In EW 19 of 2026, respiratory virus activity in the Region of the Americas deepens the pattern of inter-hemispheric seasonal transition observed in previous weeks, with an increasingly marked divergence between hemispheres. North America, the Caribbean, and Central America are consolidating the end of the 2025–2026 season, with influenza positivity at low levels close to the interseasonal baseline. In contrast, Brazil and the Southern Cone establish themselves as the subregion of greatest epidemiological relevance for this reporting period, intensifying an accelerated upward trend of the start of the austral winter season, led by Argentina. The Andean Subregion maintains a mixed pattern, with an aggregate decline in influenza but divergent trajectories between countries and with RSV cases that continue to rise. The inter-hemispheric predominance of subtypes persists: influenza B, which has characterized the end of the Northern Hemisphere season, and influenza A, mainly A(H3N2), in the subregions of the Southern Hemisphere. Likewise, RSV shows opposite patterns according to hemisphere: declining in North America and rising in the Andean Region and in Brazil and the Southern Cone, consistent with the start of the austral season. SARS-CoV-2 maintains its generalized decline in all subregions, with no sign of resurgence. The burden of SARI and ILI is declining in the Northern Hemisphere, while the indicators are beginning to reflect an increase in the Southern Cone. Situación regional: En la SE 19 de 2026, la actividad de virus respiratorios en la Región de las Américas profundiza el patrón de transición estacional inter-hemisférica observado en las semanas previas, con una divergencia cada vez más marcada entre hemisferios. América del Norte, el Caribe y Centroamérica consolidan el fin de la temporada 2025–2026, con positividades de influenza en niveles bajos próximos a la línea de base interestacional. En contraste, Brasil y el Cono Sur se afirman como la subregión de mayor relevancia epidemiológica para este periodo de reporte, intensificando una tendencia ascendente y acelerada de inicio de temporada invernal austral, liderada por Argentina. La Subregión Andina mantiene un patrón mixto, con descenso agregado de influenza, pero trayectorias divergentes entre países y con casos de VRS que continúan en ascenso. Persiste el predominio inter-hemisférico de subtipos: influenza B que ha caracterizado el cierre de temporada del hemisferio norte e influenza A, principalmente A(H3N2), en las subregiones del hemisferio sur. Igualmente, el VRS muestra patrones opuestos según hemisferio: en descenso en América del Norte y en ascenso en la Región Andina y en Brasil y el Cono Sur, consistente con el inicio de la temporada austral. El SARS-CoV-2 mantiene su descenso generalizado en todas las subregiones, sin señal de resurgimiento. La carga de IRAG y ETI desciende en el hemisferio norte, mientras los indicadores comienzan a reflejar un incremento en el Cono Sur.
Country: Democratic Republic of the Congo Source: International Rescue Committee Delayed detection and slow contact tracing suggest virus has likely spread undetected for months Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo, June 1, 2026 — The Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is likely significantly larger and more advanced than official figures suggest, as response efforts struggle with delayed detection and dangerously low levels of contact tracing, the International Rescue Committee (IRC) warned today. With only 20% of contacts currently being traced, health authorities are struggling to identify and isolate new chains of transmission. The virus may have been spreading undetected since before March, potentially as long as three months before the first official case was identified, allowing multiple chains of transmission to establish across communities and provinces. The combination of these factors dramatically increases the likelihood that the true scale of infections is far higher than reported, the IRC warned. Rachel Howard, Senior Technical Emergency Health advisor at the IRC, said: “The true scale of this Ebola outbreak is likely far worse than official figures suggest. When four out of five contacts are not being traced, it becomes incredibly difficult to contain the outbreak or even understand its true scale. We’re especially concerned about the virus spreading to other countries like Burundi or South Sudan.” IRC teams warn that shortages of diagnostic cartridges and testing backlogs are slowing confirmation of cases, further obscuring the true spread of the outbreak. Seven confirmed Ebola patients have reportedly left treatment centers in the DRC, while more than six healthcare workers have died, including two doctors in recent days. The incidents underscore the deep fear and mistrust some communities continue to have toward Ebola prevention and treatment efforts. People are avoiding health facilities, raising fears that those affected are remaining within communities rather than seeking treatment. As a result, transmission is spreading across multiple areas, and communities are losing trust in the response. Strengthening local, community-based prevention and infection control should be the immediate priority to control the outbreak at the source. Without urgent funding, the situation could deteriorate rapidly. This outbreak is increasingly resembling the 2018–2020 North Kivu Ebola crisis, which infected thousands of people and was complicated by insecurity, population movement, and community resistance. However, unlike previous outbreaks, there is currently no approved vaccine available for this Ebola strain. The IRC is calling for urgent international support to scale up contact tracing, surveillance, laboratory testing, treatment capacity, and community engagement efforts before the outbreak escalates further. It is also critical to build trust with affected communities, including through survivor-led awareness and risk awareness activities. In response to the current escalating outbreak, whilst working in close coordination with the government health authorities who are leading the response, IRC has launched prevention and control activities, including distribution of Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) as well as awareness raising activities amidst communities at risk, rehabilitation of triage areas and rehabilitation/construction of showers, latrines and waste disposal areas. In Uganda, IRC is working with the Ministry of Health on the border to support infection, prevention and control activities including screening people coming across the border. IRC is also supporting response coordination in Uganda. Media contacts Madiha Raza International Rescue Committee madiha.raza@rescue.org Kim Winkler International Rescue Committee Kim.Winkler@rescue.org IRC Global Communications communications@rescue.org
Country: Philippines Source: Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology Please refer to the attached Infographic.
Country: Democratic Republic of the Congo Sources: Government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, World Health Organization The Government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and the World Health Organization (WHO) reaffirm their strong partnership and shared commitment to protect the health and well-being of the people of Ituri Province and the nation at large, following the joint mission to Bunia led by Dr Samuel Roger Kamba, Minister of Health, Mr. Patrick Muyaya Katembwe, Minister of Communication and Medias, and the visit of WHO Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus. This high-level visit comes at a challenging time, as the country responds to an outbreak of Ebola disease caused by the Bundibugyo virus. The Ministry of Health reports a rapidly evolving situation, with cases and deaths notified in several health zones of Ituri, North Kivu and South Kivu. The Government, with support from WHO and partners, is intensifying surveillance, laboratory testing and patient care to interrupt transmission as quickly as possible The Government of the DRC is firmly leading a comprehensive national response, working closely with provincial authorities in Ituri and neighbouring provinces. WHO, alongside the broader United Nations system and health and humanitarian partners, is fully committed to supporting these efforts. Together, DRC authorities, WHO and partners are working to strengthen coordination, mobilize additional resources, and ensure that life-saving interventions reach affected communities quickly and equitably Central to this response is the recognition that communities are at the heart of the solution. Success will depend on the trust, engagement and leadership of local communities. National and provincial authorities, with support from WHO and partners, are intensifying dialogue with community leaders, women's groups, youth representatives, religious leaders and the private sector to better understand local concerns and co-develop solutions that are culturally appropriate and effective. While the Bundibugyo strain presents additional challenges, including the absence of a licensed vaccine or specific treatment, proven public health measures remain effective in slowing transmission and potential full recovery. The Ministry of Health, WHO and partners are working to rapidly undertake randomized control trials on candidate vaccines and treatments. Persistent challenges include early detection and isolation of cases, contact tracing, safe and dignified burials, robust infection prevention and control in health facilities, and strong community awareness. The Government and WHO call on all communities to continue adopting protective behaviours, including regular hand hygiene, early care seeking in health facilities, and sharing accurate information. The DRC brings unparalleled experience to this response, having successfully contained multiple previous Ebola outbreaks. This experience, combined with strong political leadership at the highest level of the State and renewed international solidarity, provides a firm foundation for bringing the current outbreak under control. Both parties emphasize that outbreak response must maintain primary health care and essential services and strengthen long-term health system resilience. Investments made today in laboratories, health workers, surveillance systems and essential services will leave a legacy for the people of Ituri and the DRC as a whole. We sincerely thank our international partners for the support already provided to response operations, and we encourage sustained solidarity to bring this outbreak under control. Cooperation between countries must also ensure that borders remain open, and that entry controls do not obstruct the flow of desperately needed medical supplies and personnel. Together, DRC authorities, WHO, Africa CDC and partners are working to strengthen coordination, mobilize additional resources, and ensure that life-saving interventions reach affected communities quickly and equitably. Media Contacts WHO Media Team World Health Organization Email: mediainquiries@who.int
Country: Ukraine Source: REACH Initiative Please refer to the attached file. KEY MESSAGES • Air attacks and damage to energy infrastructure from 2022 to 2025 had a significant and multifaceted impact on the functioning of the economy, financial infrastructure, and local markets. In particular, they limited the operating hours of local shops and financial service providers. Damage to infrastructure also contributed to rising prices for agricultural products. • Agricultural yields were among the most important longterm factors influencing inflationary processes in Ukraine. Poor weather conditions and the loss of agricultural territories led to lower harvests, creating substantial inflationary pressure which disproportionately affecting vulnerable population groups. • Financial factors appeared to have a much stronger impact on access to goods than physical barriers. Older customers (i.e., persons 60 years old or older) were among the most vulnerable groups, with 80 to 90% typically reporting the impact of financial barriers on their access to goods. • Local markets demonstrated a high level of resilience and adaptability, continuing to meet the needs of residents. The greatest difficulties in market functionality were observed in frontline hromadas, where conditions remained particularly severe and complex.
Country: Mali Source: Famine Early Warning System Network Please refer to the attached file. Messages clé Suite à l’escalade de l’insécurité après les attaques coordonnées de fin avril, l**’insécurité alimentaire devrait se détériorer de Crise (Phase 3 de l'IPC) à Urgence (Phase 4 de l'IPC) à Kidal à partir de juin,** avec une faible proportion de ménages pauvres et déplacés en Catastrophe (Phase 5 de l’IPC). Les flux commerciaux, notamment en provenance d’Algérie, ont été fortement réduit en raison de l’intensification des bombardements militaires, des persécutions des groupes armés, et de l’absence de convois escortés, entraînant un isolement accru de la région durant la période de soudure agropastorale. La forte baisse des approvisionnements et des pénuries observées sur certains marchés, combinées aux prix déjà élevés et à la baisse des revenus, réduisent considérablement l’accès des ménages aux aliments. Bien que les ménages pauvres de Kidal disposent encore d'actifs en mai, leur capacité d'adaptation devrait se dégrader considérablement à partir de juin. L'accès à l’assistance humanitaire demeure sévèrement restreint en raison des contraintes de mobilité. La forte baisse des flux commerciaux est susceptible d'entretenir la flambée des prix et les pénuries d'approvisionnement sur les marchés, tandis que les perturbations des mouvements de bétail compromettent une source essentielle d'alimentation et de revenus saisonniers. Un recours atypique à la décapitalisation du bétail et à la mendicité tentera d'atténuer des importants déficits de consommation alimentaire ; toutefois, la détérioration de l'insécurité alimentaire ne fera qu'exacerber la situation nutritionnelle dans cette région. Dans le contexte de détérioration sécuritaire et économique, des résultats d’Urgence (Phase 4 de l’IPC) persisteront à Ménaka jusqu’en septembre avec une augmentation du nombre de personne en Urgence (Phase 4 de l’IPC) à Catastrophe (Phase 5 de l’IPC) à cause des impacts significatifs de la recrudescence de l’insécurité sur la capacité des ménages à accéder aux aliments dans la région. Dans les zones d’insécurité de Gao, Mopti et Tombouctou, des résultats de Crise (Phase 3 de l'IPC) seront observés de mai à septembre liés à la baisse importante du pouvoir d’achat. Les zones du nord des régions de Ségou, Nara et de Nioro et les centres urbains devraient rester en Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) jusqu’en septembre 2026, avec une faible proportion des ménages déplacés et plus pauvres en Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC), sous l’effet combiné de la baisse des revenus, des prix élevés, et d’une soudure précoce liée à l’épuisement des stocks. Les attaques coordonnées du Front de Libération de l’Azawad (FLA) et du Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) le 25 avril 2026 et la tentative de blocus de Bamako, annoncé le 28 avril, ont fortement perturbé les flux commerciaux et les activités économiques à l’échelle nationale. Les attaques visant les garnisons de Kidal, Gao, Mopti, Bamako, Kati, ainsi que la tentative de blocus sur Bamako, ont considérablement réduit les mouvements de marchandises et de personnes sur plusieurs axes routiers stratégiques. Les affrontements se sont poursuivis en mai, malgré l’intensification des offensives militaires et les escortes. Les menaces et attaques contre les véhicules en direction de Bamako réduisent les flux alimentaires depuis Sikasso et Ségou vers Kayes, Nioro et la capitale. Les approvisionnements restent inférieurs à la normale, maintenant des prix élevés et limitant la capacité des ménages pauvres à satisfaire leurs besoins alimentaires malgré les stocks disponibles. Les perturbations persistantes de l’approvisionnement en carburant en dehors de Bamako, entraînent des prix anormalement élevés du transport et des denrées alimentaires, exacerbant les difficultés d’accès alimentaire des ménages pauvres, en particulier dans les zones déjà affectées par l’insécurité. Début mai, les prix de l’essence sur le marché parallèle ont enregistré une hausse allant de 42 à plus de 60 pour cent par rapport aux deux dernières semaines dans plusieurs localités (Koro, Mopti, Bankass, Douentza, Ménaka). Les prix des céréales de base affichaient en fin avril une augmentation de 15, 19 et 42 pour cent respectivement à Ménaka, Gao et Kidal par rapport à la moyenne quinquennale ; parallèlement, la hausse de des prix des denrées de base variait de 25 à 71 pour cent d’avril à mai dans les régions de Mopti, Gao et Ménaka, selon OCHA. L’impact conjugué de l’insécurité, de la crise d’électricité, du carburant et de la flambée des prix des denrées dégrade fortement le pouvoir d’achat et l’accès aux aliments des ménages pauvres. La campagne agricole 2026/27 démarre dans un contexte de perspectives pluviométriques moins favorables et de contraintes persistantes d’insécurité et d’accès aux intrants agricoles. Alors que des cumuls de pluies moyens étaient initialement prévues, les dernières prévisions indiquent des conditions pluviométriques inferieures à la moyenne entre juin et août dans le sud. Ces perspectives défavorables dans les zones agricoles du sud s’ajoutent aux effets du conflit, et de l’accès réduit aux intrants, y compris les engrais, à cause des développements au Moyen Orient, qui devraient tous ramener la production de moyenne à inférieur à la moyenne dans le pays. Néanmoins, malgré les difficultés de la production agricole, les activités agricoles dans le sud en cours offrent des revenus et de nourriture qui atténueront les difficultés d’accès aux aliments des ménages pauvres. Dans le centre et le nord du pays, l’insécurité limite l’accès aux champs, réduit les superficies cultivables et restreint les opportunités de main d’œuvre agricole.
Country: Niger Source: Famine Early Warning System Network Please refer to the attached file. Messages clé Des résultats de Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC) persistent dans les régions de Tillabéry, Diffa et du nord-ouest de la région de Tahoua, de mai à septembre, où l’insécurité a entraîné une faible production agricole conduisant à un épuisement précoce des stocks alimentaires et une forte dépendance aux marchés, tant pour les déplacées que pour les ménages pauvres. Le pouvoir d’achat est insuffisant qui ne leur permettent pas d’accéder à des quantités adéquates de nourriture, face à des prix élevés (le mil se vend à 300 FCFA/kg au lieu du prix national de 230 FCFA/kg). La faible demande et l'augmentation de l'offre de main-d'œuvre locale disponible entraînent une baisse des revenus inférieure à la moyenne saisonnière, obligeant ces ménages à réduire le nombre de repas, générant ainsi des déficits alimentaires. Des groupes restreints connaissent une insécurité alimentaire aiguë d’Urgence (Phase 4 de l’IPC). Ce sont les ménages déplacés qui envoient leurs enfants mendier et les ménages résidents très pauvres qui sont obligés de consommer les stocks de semences conservés pour la prochaine campagne agricole. Une insécurité alimentaire aiguë de Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) est observée dans presque tout le pays et pourrait persister jusqu’en septembre 2026. Les zones concernées sont principalement les zones agricoles, agropastorales et pastorales qui ne sont pas affectées par les conflits et dont les marchés fonctionnent normalement, mais affichent des prix élevés. Les ménages pauvres, à faibles revenus et qui n’ont plus de stocks alimentaires, sont les plus affectés. Ils ont une consommation alimentaire adéquate, mais sont incapables de satisfaire les besoins essentiels non alimentaires sans recourir à des stratégies d’adaptation négatives. L’insécurité civile s'est considérablement accrue suite à une augmentation du nombre d’incidents sécuritaires et de déplacés dans les foyers de conflit. Selon ACLED, le nombre total d’incidents sécuritaires a augmenté de 33 pour cent entre janvier et avril 2026 par rapport à la même période en 2025, avec des augmentations de 53 pour cent, 19 pour cent et 12 pour cent enregistrées, respectivement dans les régions de Tillabéry, Dosso et Diffa. Ces attaques de groupes armés ont entraîné des déplacements continus de populations. La population en déplacement interne (PDI) est estimée à 548 000 personnes, soit 53 pour cent de la population totale en déplacement forcé de 1 042 859 personnes, selon l’UNHCR. Ces PDI sont concentrés à Tillabéry (45 pour cent), Diffa (32 pour cent) et Tahoua (12 pour cent), ce qui amplifie la pression sur les sources de revenus et de nourriture dans ces régions. Le fonctionnement des marchés est perturbé dans les zones de conflit, où les prix des denrées de base sont supérieurs de 30 pour cent à la moyenne nationale. L’offre est en baisse par rapport à l’année dernière et à la moyenne quinquennale, en raison des répercussions des conflits et du recul de la production agricole 2025/26 consécutif à l’arrêt précoce de la saison des pluies et à la baisse des superficies emblavées. Dans le reste du pays, l'offre moyenne sur les marchés reflète un fonctionnement normal, la demande toutefois inférieure à celle de l’année dernière, du fait de la disponibilité des stocks de report et du démarrage de la vente de céréales à prix modéré. Les prix des denrées alimentaires, inférieurs à ceux de l'année dernière, s'inscrivent dans la ligne de la baisse de 7,5 pour cent du taux global d'inflation en glissement annuel enregistrée en avril 2026 par rapport à 2025 (Institut national de la statistique). Les perturbations du commerce international provoquées par les conflits en cours au Moyen-Orient pourraient, à moyen terme, augmenter les prix des produits importés, notamment le riz importé, l’huile, le sucre, la farine de blé et les engrais. Cette augmentation des prix de ces produits constitue un facteur additionnel, réduisant davantage le pouvoir d’achat des ménages particulièrement pauvres et déplacés, ainsi que celui des ménages des centres urbains. Toutefois, les prochaines récoltes, ainsi que la stabilité des prix des hydrocarbures et des coûts de transport résultant d'une production domestique de carburant permettant de maîtriser l'inflation, atténueront les impacts sur l’accès aux produits alimentaires. Les précipitations pour la prochaine saison pluvieuse, de juin à septembre, sont estimées inférieures à la moyenne, contrairement aux prévisions antérieures qui prévoyaient des précipitations moyennes à supérieures à la moyenne dans la région du Sahel.Par ailleurs, des périodes de longue à moyenne durée, sans précipitations significatives au début de la saison, sont aussi attendues. Les effets combinés d’une pluviométrie déficitaire, d’une faible utilisation d’engrais par rapport à la normale, à la suite de la hausse de leur prix due au conflit au Moyen-Orient, et d’une baisse des superficies cultivées à cause des entraves à l’accès aux champs dues à l’insécurité civile vont entraîner une baisse de la production agricole globale pour la campagne 2026/2027. Les pics de baisse de la production céréalière seront enregistrés dans les zones affectées par les conflits.
Country: Chad Source: Famine Early Warning System Network Please refer to the attached file. Messages clé Des résultats de Crise ! (Phase 3 ! de l’IPC) se maintiennent entre mai et septembre dans les provinces de l’Ennedi-Est (Wadi Hawar), du Wadi Fira (Dar Tama, Kobé), de l’Ouaddaï (Assoungha) et du Sila (Kimiti). Les réfugiés continuent d’arriver sans moyens d’existence. Avec la dégradation de la sécurité à la frontière et l’installation de la soudure pastorale et agricole, les opportunités de travail et de revenus sont très limitées pour les réfugiés, aggravant leur accès aux aliments. Ils font face à des déficits de consommation alimentaire et dépendent davantage de l’assistance alimentaire. L’accès alimentaire des ménages hôtes se détériorera également en raison de la dégradation des conditions sécuritaires, de l’épuisement des stocks, de la hausse des prix et de la baisse des revenus, causées par la concurrence avec les réfugiés pour des opportunités limitées. Ainsi, les ménages hôtes feront recours à l’endettement, qui sera insuffisant pour faire face aux déficits de la consommation alimentaire. Des résultats de Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC) devraient persister jusqu’en septembre 2026 dans la province du Lac, ainsi que dans les provinces du Kanem et du Barh El Gazel à partir de juin. Les attaques des groupes armés dans le bassin du Lac, ainsi que les déplacements forcés des populations qui en ont résulté, ont provoqué une dégradation continue des moyens d’existence, en particulier de la pêche et de l’élevage. Dans le Kanem et le Barh El Gazel, ces résultats font suite à l’épuisement des stocks, à la baisse des revenus issus de la cueillette et à la forte dépendance aux marchés, combinés à des coûts élevés des aliments de base pendant la période de soudure. L’accès alimentaire sera davantage plus difficile, notamment dans les îles menacées par l’insécurité et la destruction des moyens d’existence. Les déficits de consommation seront plus importants chez les ménages déplacés et les communautés hôtes pauvres et très pauvres. L’afflux de réfugiés et de retournés se poursuit dans l’Est même si un affaiblissement est constaté depuis avril 2026. En effet, seulement 1 674 réfugiés soudanais sont nouvellement arrivés en avril, contre 2 221 en mars et 5 900 en février.Selon le HCR, au 17 mai 2026, un cumul de 927 915 réfugiés, dont 87 pour cent des femmes et des enfants, sont arrivés depuis avril 2023 dans les provinces orientales. Ces arrivées augmentent la demande sur le marché, la pression sur les moyens d’existence locaux et les ressources des communautés hôtes. Les agences humanitaires et le gouvernement tchadien ont pu relocaliser 67 pour cent des réfugiés dans des camps où ils bénéficient de l’assistance humanitaire. La situation sécuritaire s’est détériorée depuis mars dans les provinces de l’Est et du Lac. Selon ACLED, 20 évènements sécuritaires ont eu lieu dans le pays entre le 15 avril et le 15 mai 2026, causant la mort de 101 personnes, dont 67 dans les provinces de l’Est et 23 dans la province du Lac. Ils ont impacté les moyens d’existence de 92 040 personnes. Les affrontements directs entre les forces tchadiennes et les éléments des Rapid Support Forces (RSF) exposent les communautés frontalières des provinces orientales à l’insécurité et à des déplacements de population, ce qui augmente la pression sur les ressources. Dans la province du Lac, la confrontation entre l’armée tchadienne et des groupes armés terroristes a conduit le gouvernement à décréter l’état d’urgence dans la province depuis le 7 mai. Cette mesure réduit fortement le fonctionnement du marché pendant la période où les ménages pauvres sont les plus dépendants. En avril 2026, les prix des céréales locales demeurent inférieurs aux niveaux de 2025, tout en poursuivant leur tendance saisonnière haussière mensuelle débutée depuis février. Dans un contexte d’un approvisionnement moyen des marchés, le mil et le riz local ont enregistré une hausse mensuelle globale de 4 pour cent en avril, contrastant avec les baisses de 17 pour cent (mil), 23 pour cent (sorgho), 30 pour cent (maïs) et 11 pour cent (riz local) observées l'année précédente. En revanche, le riz importé et la farine de blé ont affiché des tendances inverses, marquant des baisses de 2 pour cent et 3 pour cent, respectivement, par rapport à mars 2026. Toutefois, ces prix demeurent très élevés, tout en dépassant la moyenne quinquennale de plus de 51 pour cent pour le riz importé et de 62 pour cent pour la farine de blé. Les marchés à bétail sont très animés en raison des préparatifs de la fête de Tabaski et les prix du bétail sont en hausse, sauf dans les zones affectées par les conflits. La demande est supérieure à l’offre en raison d’une affluence des acheteurs du Cameroun et du Nigeria sur les marchés d’exportation des bétails. Les prix des bovins, ovins et caprins sont en hausse de 8 pour cent, 9 pour cent et 7 pour cent, respectivement, sur les marchés de Wadi Fira comparativement à avril 2025. Ainsi, les termes d’échange mouton/mil sont favorables aux éleveurs dans les zones plus sécurisées. En revanche, les prix sont généralement en baisse dans les zones où l’insécurité limite l’affluence des acheteurs. Par exemple, au marché de Mamdi, dans la province du Lac, les prix sont en baisse de 17 pour cent, 8 pour cent et 7 pour cent, respectivement, pour les bovins, ovins et caprins, pour la même période.