New York Post
보수 성향
IT/기술
Meet the ‘Nostradamus of AI’ who built a $20 billion hedge fund before turning 25
Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher with no professional investing experience, launched Situational Awareness in 2024.
"HEDGE" · 총 47건
필터 보기현재 지수
50.3
0 = 부정 우세
50 = 중립
100 = 긍정 우세
최근 7일 기준 87,381건을 분석한 결과, 뉴스 심리지수는 50.2(균형)입니다. 긍정 4,479건(5.1%)·중립 80,721건(92.4%)·부정 2,181건(2.5%)이며, 중립 비중이 뚜렷하게 높습니다. 성향 지수는 종합 15.3(중도 균형)입니다.
Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher with no professional investing experience, launched Situational Awareness in 2024.
Aeroporto da Zona da Mata terá retomada de operações da Latam com novos voos para Guarulhos (SP) Gabriel Magacho/Divulgação Aeroporto da Zona da Mata A Latam Brasil reduziu sua oferta de voos em junho e repetirá a medida em julho, com um corte de cerca de 3% na operação planejada para o mês. Segundo o presidente-executivo da companhia, Jerome Cadier, a decisão foi motivada pelo aumento dos custos com combustível, impulsionado pela guerra no Irã. Em entrevista à Reuters durante a reunião anual da Associação Internacional de Transporte Aéreo, realizada no Rio de Janeiro, Cadier afirmou que a tendência é que os ajustes continuem ao longo do terceiro trimestre. 🗒️Tem alguma sugestão de reportagem? Envie para o g1 Segundo o executivo, a companhia continua prevendo crescimento em relação a 2025. A expectativa inicial era ampliar a capacidade em 11%, mas o ritmo de expansão será menor do que o planejado originalmente. Na semana passada, a Azul também anunciou que está intensificando os cortes na oferta de voos devido à alta dos preços do combustível de aviação. Agora no g1 Segundo o presidente-executivo da Azul, John Rodgerson, a empresa continuará reduzindo voos para preservar o caixa em um cenário de incerteza. Rodgerson disse à Reuters que as maiores empresas do setor vêm reajustando a capacidade para se alinhar melhor à demanda diante de níveis de custo mais altos, e a Azul seguirá o exemplo, indo além dos cortes anteriores à medida que o conflito se prolonga. Disparada do querosene de aviação No fim de maio, o governo renovou os subsídios para o querosene de aviação, que é um insumo sensível para o setor, visto que, de acordo com a Associação Brasileira das Empresas Aéreas (Abear), passou a representar cerca de 45% do custo operacional das companhias aéreas. No primeiro dia do mês de junho, a Petrobras anunciou que vai reduzir em 14,2% o preço médio de venda do querosene de aviação (QAV) para distribuidoras. Isso corresponde a uma diminuição de R$ 0,93 por litro frente ao mês anterior, informou a estatal em comunicado. Companhias aéreas europeias começaram a subir preços e cortar voos após a disparada do querosene de aviação, pressionado pela guerra no Oriente Médio. Empresas da Ásia seguem o mesmo caminho e já anunciam reajustes nas tarifas. A escandinava SAS cancelou centenas de voos em março e anunciou aumento temporário nas tarifas para compensar a alta do combustível. A maioria das suspensões atinge rotas domésticas na Noruega, com impacto menor na Suécia e Dinamarca. Outras gigantes europeias, como Air France-KLM e Lufthansa, também enfrentam pressão de custos. Parte do impacto é amortecida por contratos de hedge — compra antecipada de combustível a preços fixos —, mas o efeito da alta já começa a aparecer nas tarifas. Nesta segunda (8), a Reuters informou que os gastos com combustível das companhias aéreas dos EUA aumentaram 78% em abril na comparação com o mesmo mês do ano passado, chegando a quase US$ 6,5 bilhões. A alta foi impulsionada pelo aumento dos preços do combustível em meio ao conflito no Oriente Médio. Companhias aéreas cancelam voos para Portugal após anúncio de greve geral Dívida e juros: por que deixar para pagar depois custa tão caro?
39 Fairfield Pond Lane property sits on one of the priciest streets in the United States and was listed Sunday by billionaire hedge fund manager Zach Schreiber.
Citadel and Citadel Securities accepted a record-low 0.36% of interns but have the largest class ever, as hedge funds work to build talent pipelines.
With the benchmark index - BSE Sensex down by over 10,000 basis points to a level of 74,243 as of June 6, 2026, has left many investors wondering whether to continue SIPs and lump-sum investments during the current market decline, hold current positions or wait for greater clarity on market direction?Market experts believe that investors should see this 10,000 point correction as a buying opportunity rather than a reason to panic.Vishal Dhawan, Founder & CEO, Plan Ahead Wealth Advisors told ETMutualFunds that investors should view this 10,000-point Sensex correction as a long-term buying opportunity as market drawdowns are natural processes that shake out speculative premiums, resetting valuations to fundamentally healthier levels.Also Read | Multicap or flexicap mutual fund for a 20-year SIP? Expert explains what investors should choose “Long-term investors can continue their Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) and hold current positions firmly. Pausing allocations to "wait for clarity" is a psychological trap that historically locks investors out of the sharpest days of a market rebound.”Dhawan further said that while regular SIPs are key to an investment journey, panic selling must be completely avoided; use this market decline to methodically build an equity baseline designed to reward your patience when economic sentiment inevitably swings back to optimism at some point in the future and it is critical to have a minimum 5-7 year investment horizon whilst investing.Echoing a similar opinion of considering this as a buying opportunity rather than a reason to panic, Amitabh Lara, Executive Director, Anand Rathi Wealth Limited shared with ETMutualFunds that for long-term investors, this is not the time to stop investing.Amitabh further said that continuing SIPs during a fall can actually work in your favour because the same investment amount buys more units at lower prices and one of the biggest mistakes investors make is stopping SIPs during a correction and returning only after the recovery has already happened.The benchmark index which touched a peak of 84,391 on December 10, 2025, is now down by nearly 10,148 points to a level of 74,243 as of June 6, 2026.As the market becomes volatile, investors as well as the fund managers keep cash in hand and wait for the opportunity to deploy it in the market but with a dilemma whether to deploy cash immediately or stagger investments over time.Amitabh said that if investors have idle cash available then they can go ahead and invest as a lumpsum and funds can be deployed in a staggered manner through tranches, over 6 to 8 weeks. “It also removes the stress of trying to time the exact bottom. If they have SIPs, they can continue it without worrying about the market level and take advantage of rupee cost averaging.”Dhawan said that for investors sitting on cash, a staggered deployment strategy via a 6-month to 12 month Systematic Transfer Plan (STP) is highly recommended as this approach could hedge your principal against intermediate downside volatility.He further said that investors should avoid deploying an absolute lumpsum at current levels, as picking the exact market bottom is a statistical myth and tranche-based buying ensures you average out your entry costs across multiple lower price bands smoothly.“Park your liquid capital in low-duration instruments and systematically route it into equity. This automated execution effectively replaces portfolio anxiety with disciplined benefits. In case you wish to deploy a lumpsum, and not do a STP, an investment in the Balanced Advantage category is suggested.” Dhawan said.How equity categories performedETMutualFunds checked the performance of equity mutual funds since December 10, 2025. Small cap funds have delivered an average return of 6.06% since the date BSE Sensex touched the new peak, followed by mid cap funds which gave an average return of 2.58%.Also Read | Nippon India Mutual Fund limits subscription in Gold BeES and gold savings fund In contrast, the counterparts, large cap funds gave a negative average return of 6.26% since December 10, 2025. Multi cap funds gave an average return of 0.06% whereas flexi cap funds fell 2.95% on an average in the said time period.Out of 10 equity categories, only three gave positive average returns which were small caps, mid caps and multi caps whereas the other categories such as large caps, contra funds, ELSS, flexi, focused, value and large & mid caps gave negative average returns.Which market-cap segment could lead the recovery?Dhawan said that large-cap stocks are typically best positioned to lead the initial recovery wave when domestic and foreign institutional flows return and their robust cash flows, operational scale, and institutional backing provide an essential fundamental moat.He further said that mid-caps may require stock-specific elements to perform, as many names went up significantly during the previous bull cycle; small caps should be approached with high caution and patience, as they remain prone to sharp liquidity outflows during market corrections. “Limit small-cap exposure if you can handle the volatility and have a longer time horizon of 7-10 years for mid and small caps.”Lara said that small caps appear to have the most room for upside when markets recover. Currently, Nifty Smallcap 250 is trading about 17.4% below its fair value, compared with 9.6% for the Nifty Midcap 150 and around 5-9% for large-cap indices. Hence, small caps have corrected more than large caps and mid caps relative to their earnings potential.He further said that investors can have a balanced exposure across market caps, with 55% in large caps and the rest in mid and small caps to be a part of the eventual recovery that will follow in the markets.BSE Sensex: In the last six months, the index was down 13.38% and in the nine months, it was down 8.01%. In the last one year, Sensex was down 8.83% whereas in the last three years and five years it was up 5.74% and 7.33% respectively.Sector allocation becomes particularly important during market corrections as valuation gaps emerge across industries. The question is whether investors should actively target beaten-down sectors or focus on broader diversification.In response to this, Lara said investors should avoid investing in single sectors or making sectoral bets as performance in sectors/themes is highly cyclical. For example, in 2024, the pharma & IT sectors were part of the best-performing sectors, however, they both turned into worst-performing sectors in 2025, which suggest that entry and exit at the right time play a crucial role in making investments in the sectorial/thematic funds.Also Read |HDFC Mutual Fund limits subscription in its gold ETF and FoF. What this means for investors? During such corrections, it would be more beneficial for investors to invest in diversified categories of equity mutual funds to get exposure to all sectors and benefit from their performance, rather than focusing solely on any single sector, Lara further said.Dhawan said to prioritize accumulating high-quality banking and financial services funds as these segments offer good earnings visibility, corrected price multiples, and fundamentally strong underlying balance sheets.He further said systematic accumulation of Information Technology (IT) funds could be attributed to these deep valuation resets as they are cash-rich franchises with low debt. However, they do face business model risk. Conversely, stay away from Utilities and capital goods as valuations look well above their long term averages.(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions on ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in along with your age, risk profile, and Twitter handle.
Lenskart Solutions' shares fell more than 2% to Rs 497 on the BSE on Monday after JPMorgan Chase's offshore subsidiary Copthall Mauritius Investment sold a stake in the company through a Rs 96 crore block deal. Stock exchange data showed that Hong Kong-based hedge fund Viridian Asia Opportunities Master Fund bought 18.96 lakh shares of the company. Viridian bought Lenskart shares at an average price of Rs 508.55 apiece, taking the value of the total stake purchase to more than Rs 96 crore, according to NSE data. The seller of these shares was JPMorgan Chase’s offshore subsidiary Copthall Mauritius Investment Limited. The transaction was executed on Friday at an average price of Rs 508.55 apiece, which is slightly higher than Friday’s closing price of Rs 506.45 apiece on NSE.Lenskart has seen multiple block deals recently. Last week, SoftBank affiliate SVF II Lightbulb (Cayman) pared its stake in the eyewear retailer by selling 5.65 crore shares at Rs 508.55 apiece. Several global and domestic institutional investors picked up shares. The buyers included funds managed by Goldman Sachs and Fidelity, alongside domestic institutions such as ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund, Kotak Mutual Fund, Mirae Asset Mutual Fund, Quant Mutual Fund, HDFC Life Insurance, and ICICI Prudential Life Insurance. The deal, valued at approximately Rs 2,873 crore, also attracted participation from several overseas pension and investment funds.Lenskart share priceLenskart Solutions shares made a subdued market debut in November last year, listing at Rs 395 apiece on NSE at a discount to the IPO price of Rs 402. The shares of the company then surged more than 41% to hit a record high of Rs 557.65 apiece in April this year.The stock is currently down over 9% from that level. However, it is up over 28% from its listing price and 26% from its IPO price. The shares of the company have fallen 2.5% in one week, but gained 15% in 2026 so far. The company currently has a market capitalisation of nearly Rs 88,000 crore.Brokerages on Lenskart share priceJefferies has a ‘Buy’ call on the shares of Lenskart, with a target price of Rs 600 apiece in its base case scenario. Goldman Sachs, meanwhile, has a ‘Buy’ rating on the shares of Lenskart, with a target price of Rs 625 apiece.Morgan Stanley, on the other hand, is ‘Overweight’ on the shares of Lenskart, with a target price of Rs 576 apiece. Elara Capital recently initiated coverage on the shares of Lenskart with a target price of Rs 615 apiece, highlighting that an integrated ecosystem and tech agility fortify the eyewear retailer’s edge amid low competition, vast opportunity, and superior store economics.Lenskart earnings snapshotLenskart in May reported a nearly 46% YoY surge in revenue from operations to Rs 2,516 crore for the January-March quarter of FY26, from Rs 1,727 crore in the year-ago period, leading to bullish brokerage calls and target price hikes.While the company reported a strong surge in revenue, its net profit declined 9% YoY to Rs 200 crore during the quarter under review, from Rs 219 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous financial year.For the entire financial year which ended on March 31, 2026, Lenskart reported a 32% YoY rise in revenue to Rs 9,002 crore. EBITDA climbed 55.3% YoY to Rs 1,789 crore, while adjusted PAT surged 148% YoY to Rs 530 crore.Sensex, Nifty today: Catch all the LIVE stock market action here (Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
An international footballer allegedly tried to lure a 14-year-old British girl behind a hedge for a 'cuddle' after approaching her at a five-star resort in Turkey.
A wave of optimism over South Korean stocks is giving way to growing caution, as some investors hedge positions and pare back crowded trades on concerns that the rally has run too hot, too fast.Hedge fund Golden Horse Fund Management has trimmed exposure and added derivative protection, while M&G Investments has cut memory and foundry holdings to broaden out down the AI supply chain. A Bloomberg Intelligence analysis of options on the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF shows investors seeking protection against a decline. The fund tumbled 14% Friday in the US.The moves highlight the challenge facing global money managers. While investors remain upbeat about Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc., the two chip giants that powered Kospi’s more than 90% rise this year, many are becoming pickier about where to put new money and keeping cash ready for opportunities elsewhere.Friday’s selloff in US tech stocks, driven by fears of higher interest rates, shows how quickly popular trades can unwind once sentiment shifts. That risk could spillover into Korea once local markets open.“We’ve been trimming gross exposure at the margin and layering derivative protection over the last few weeks,” said Yi Ling Ong, managing partner at Golden Horse Fund. Several large IPOs, including a SpaceX listing this month, could lead to rotation as funds raise cash to participate, making it “prudent to hold some dry powder,” she said.131561937Over the past year, Korean stocks captured global attention as a combination of the AI boom and the government’s successful corporate reform propelled the index to new highs. Strong earnings potential continues to underpin bullish sentiment, but the extended rally has led to crowding in a few major players, leaving the market vulnerable to abrupt reversals. The benchmark tumbled 7% at one point on Friday.The caution is showing up in the derivatives market.“The debate isn’t whether the Kospi story remains attractive — it’s how to stay invested without giving back a portion of the gains,” said Tanvir Sandhu, global chief derivatives strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence. Options activity in the EWY ETF suggests investors are becoming more cautious, with demand shifting from upside exposure to downside protection, he said.Some investors are looking for opportunities beyond Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, whose meteoric rise propelled them into the $1 trillion valuation club and helped Korea briefly overtake India as the world’s sixth-largest stock market.“The alpha lies lower down the value chain — in the picks-and-shovels of the picks-and-shovels,” said Vikas Pershad, portfolio manager at M&G, referring to companies that benefit from spending on AI infrastructure without being at the heart of the trade.Not Bearish To be sure, the rotation doesn’t signal investors turning bearish on Korea. Valuations remain cheaper than in rival tech hub Taiwan and investors say the market still offers one of the strongest AI-linked stories in global equities. At 8.6 times forward earnings, the Kospi trades below its five-year average of 10 times and is much cheaper than Taiwan’s benchmark, which trades at about 20 times, data compiled by Bloomberg show.Earnings upgrade cycle has also started to broaden. Excluding Samsung and SK Hynix, the rest of the Kospi is now expected to deliver more than 50% profit growth this year, up from just 20% in January, according to Golden Horse Fund. 131561965“The speed of the rally has been vertiginous but in this type of market I would rather let the rally continue,” said Rajeev De Mello, global macro portfolio manager at Gama Asset Management SA. “Exiting now will make it very difficult to re-invest later if the market doesn’t correct.”Still, foreign outflows have become a concern. Global funds have pulled a record $76 billion this year, selling in every session over the past month. While part of the retreat is due to technical limits on single-stock holding, the selling has been absorbed by more fickle retail investors — a dynamic that may heighten volatility.At the same time, some investors are growing wary of rising retail leverage. The concern is that popularity of leveraged ETFs and the planned weekly single-stock options could amplify swings in an already-volatile market. While the products are “really interesting” and show retail participation is growing, they also leave the market “in somewhat of a precarious position in case of a reversal,” Stephane Martin, head of derivatives institutional sales for Asia at Optiver, said at a panel discussion at Bloomberg’s Volatility Forum last week. (Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
GUADALAJARA, June 6 — Two elephants trudged across a makeshift football field at Mexico’s Guadalajara Zoo in...
Government and RBI have launched new measures to attract foreign investment in bonds and bank deposits. These initiatives aim to boost inflows by easing regulations and offering currency protection. The rupee strengthened significantly following the announcements, with potential for substantial retail deposit growth. Tax exemptions for foreign investors on government securities are also in place.
Elderly people in Milford-on-Sea staged a protest in a bid to stop Regency Living from tearing out the greenery at Solent Grange, where homes can fetch over £500k.
From Judge David Leibowitz (S.D. Fla.) in Mosler v. Wagner; plaintiff Warren Mosler is a hedge fund executive, author on… The post A Rare Summary Judgment in Favor of Plaintiff in Libel Case appeared first on Reason.com.
Computer-based trend-following hedge funds have successfully capitalized on huge price moves in energy markets.
Traders in Reliance Industries Ltd.’s treasury department are strategizing over where to park the company’s cash in case the Reserve Bank of India starts raising interest rates in the coming months.One proposal involves moving Reliance’s cash holdings from liquid mutual funds into short-dated money market instruments, people aware of the conglomerate’s thinking said. The switch may pay off because the yield spread between money-market papers and the benchmark rate has widened beyond its five-year average and is likely to narrow in the coming months, resulting in capital gains, the people said, asking not to be named as the information is private. Markets are currently expecting about 50 basis points of rate hikes this year, they said.Traders also mulled reducing allocation to longer-dated bonds, which tend to be more sensitive to interest-rate changes, the people said.The strategy discussion cited market expectations and the conglomerate didn’t take an explicit view on interest rates. Treasury departments typically consider a range of market scenarios when evaluating trading strategies.“We categorically deny the information you have provided in your email regarding our opinion on interest rates and the behaviour of the rupee,” a Reliance spokesperson said by email.131502003India's Overnight Swaps Reflect RBI Rate HikesThe view carries weight because Reliance runs one of the largest corporate treasuries in India. The discussion also come ahead of the Reserve Bank of India’s rate decision on Friday, where the central bank is expected to announce measures to support the rupee.While most economists — 29 out of 35 — surveyed by Bloomberg News expect the authority to keep the benchmark rate unchanged, they see the RBI adopting a hawkish stance to prepare markets for potential rate hikes later this year amid inflation pressures triggered by an oil price shock.India’s sovereign bond yields have remained broadly stable this quarter even as the rupee has slid to record lows. The currency has recovered in recent days, helped by RBI intervention and optimism that a US and Iran agreement may lead to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital route for the country’s energy imports.The rupee is down 6% this year and recently approached a record low of 97 per dollar. It has been hovering around 95-96 levels in recent days.Reliance’s traders expect the rupee to strengthen if a Middle East peace deal is reached and if the RBI takes measures to attract capital inflows, one of the people said. They have proposed that the owner of world’s largest oil-refining complex partly hedge its long-term forward contract positions as well as coupon payments dues in fiscal year starting March 2028, the person said.
The Indian rupee is trading around Rs. 95-96 to the dollar in late May 2026, setting fresh record lows. Markets are openly discussing the Rs. 100 threshold. The rupee has weakened in almost every year since 2014 and has lost approximately half its value against the dollar over that period. The end of this currency depreciation is not in sight. The factors that would stop it are not yet visible.The government is acting. State run oil companies have implemented four fuel price hikes in ten days as of May 25, taking petrol in Delhi past Rs. 102 per litre. This is the right and necessary response to the energy cost reality created by the Iran war. Crucially, the Modi government has also done its part on the macroeconomic front, consistently and aggressively reducing the fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP to maintain structural stability.Yet, the currency pressure persists. The energy price impact has not yet fully reached Indian consumers and supply chains. It is coming.Uday Kotak said it plainly at the CII Annual Business Summit on May 12: "Be ready for tough times rather than waiting for the shock to hit us." He was right.Also read | Manufactured monopoly: How industrial policy is structuring monopolies in IndiaThis is not a time to panic. But it is a time to act. The leaders who move now will have options. Those who wait will not.The Overriding Factor: The Psychology of the PlayersWhy is the currency declining despite strong domestic fiscal discipline? Because exchange rates are not driven by mathematical models alone. The currency decline is highly affected—and accelerated—by the psychology of all players engaged in this endeavor.Currency movements are deeply behavioral. When a currency visualizes a downward trend, psychology shifts from calculation to self-protection and speculation. Every player in the ecosystem operates under this psychological weight:Corporate CFOs and Treasurers: Instead of hedging normally, they rush to cover future dollar liabilities early, hoarding hard currency and inadvertently worsening the scarcity.Foreign Investors: They begin to judge their returns not by the quality of Indian business operations, but by the eroding value of the conversion rate.Importers and Exporters: Importers advance their payments to avoid paying more tomorrow; exporters delay converting their dollar earnings back into rupees, waiting for a "better" rate. This collective psychology creates a self-fulfilling prophecy.Investors, CFOs, and FDI decision makers extrapolate what is happening now into the future. When they see a currency that has lost approximately half its value since 2014 with no clear floor in sight, their psychological pivot alters market realities.Also read | India tightens checks on overseas flows as currency pressure mounts, sources sayThe cascading timeline of Foreign Portfolio Investor (FPI) equity behavior perfectly mirrors this psychological shift from rational evaluation to systemic risk aversion:2024 (The Calculation Phase): Rupee averages Rs. 83-84. FPI flows remain positive (+$12 billion) as investors trade on strong domestic corporate earnings.2025 (The Self-Protection Phase): Rupee slides past Rs. 89. Collective psychology shifts to risk mitigation. FPIs withdraw a record $18.4 billion from Indian equities—the largest annual equity outflow on record.Early 2026 (The Capitulation Phase): Rupee breaks past Rs. 95. Sentiment turns into an outright exit strategy. In the first four months of 2026 alone, outflows have already reached $19.1 billion, completely bypassing the entire previous year's record loss in a fraction of the time.FDI agreements are being signed, but capital is delayed because players are psychologically hesitant to deploy funds into a depreciating asset.The Trap of Hard Currency Debt: A Broken Business Model There is a highly significant and dangerous phenomenon unfolding in India today that requires immediate exposure. For years, a specific class of Indian corporates adopted a regular strategy of borrowing heavily in hard currency (External Commercial Borrowings, or ECBs). Lured by low nominal global interest rates, several of these companies over borrowed, treating cheap dollar debt as a permanent structural advantage.Today, that strategy has become a trap. The compounding effect of a depreciating rupee, skyrocketing hedging costs, and brutal refinancing realities is fundamentally breaking their business models.Consider the mechanics of this crisis:The Hedging Penalty: Leaving dollar debt unhedged is now corporate roulette. However, buying hedges at current rupee levels has become structurally prohibitive. The cost of protection completely wipes out any interest rate advantage.The Refinancing Wall: Billions in foreign debt are coming due. These over-borrowed companies must now refinance their liabilities at a time when the rupee value has materially deteriorated. They are effectively forced to borrow far more rupees just to pay back the same amount of original dollars.The Crushing Cost of Rupee Capital: As these companies try to pivot back to domestic lenders, they face a severe escalation in their rupee cost of capital.The Growth Verdict: When your cost of capital spikes and your cash flows are consumed by servicing legacy dollar debt, future growth stops. Capital expenditure (CapEx) plans are being frozen. These companies can no longer invest in innovation, capacity, or market expansion. Their business model shifts overnight from aggressive value creation to basic survival. Boards must realize that this is not a temporary treasury headache; it is a structural threat to the company’s future viability.India's forex reserves stand at approximately 10 to 11 months of import cover. Substantial, but being actively deployed to defend the currency. Some imports are non-negotiable: oil, critical inputs, components. These will now cost more. That cost passes through every supply chain.Six Actions for Business Leaders1. Protect your cash and liquidity first. This is the most immediate priority. Map your cash position today. Identify every source of liquidity across the next twelve months. Stress-test it at Rs. 100 and beyond. Which receivables are at risk? Which credit lines are rupee-denominated and which are not? Companies that run into a cash crisis during a currency depreciation cycle lose their options entirely. The CFO must own this analysis and present it to the board within days, not weeks.2. Act now on your foreign currency borrowings, hedging, and refinancing. Do not assume the rupee will recover to Rs. 80. Analyse your full foreign currency exposure across the next three years: every loan, every refinancing date, every hedging contract, every procurement price denominated in foreign currency. Hard currency loans now face refinancing at rupee values that have materially deteriorated. Model every scenario at Rs. 100 and beyond. Your CFO, treasury, and procurement team must be aligned on one instruction: do not run into a liquidity crisis. This analysis must happen now, not at the next quarterly review.3. Build a war room. Most companies have begun thinking about war rooms for supply chain disruptions. Expand the mandate. Currency exposure belongs in the same room. Which of your costs are dollar or euro denominated? Which of your revenues are rupee denominated? Where is the mismatch? What is your break-even exchange rate? If you do not have clear answers today, you are exposed. The war room is not a committee. It is a real-time decision environment with live data, a clear owner, and the authority to act.4. Use the currency depreciation advantage: double your export salesforce. A weaker rupee makes Indian exports more competitive. This window will not stay open indefinitely. Double the salesforce in your export markets now. Use this period to upgrade quality, improve service delivery, and build customer relationships that will last beyond the currency advantage. Indian exporters who invest in capability during this period will emerge stronger regardless of what the rupee does next. Those who simply ride the price advantage without building the underlying business will lose when conditions change.5. Watch your stock and your sector. Banks and financial institutions should already be on high alert. Companies with large foreign currency exposure will see pressure on their financials. Some stock prices are already reflecting this. Go through your sector company by company. Identify who is most exposed. If you are an investor or a lender, this analysis is not optional. The combination of currency depreciation, rising oil prices, and FPI outflows creates a compounding pressure that will surface in earnings before it surfaces in headlines.6. Cut costs aggressively. AI will help. There has never been more urgency to reduce costs than now. And there has never been a better tool to do it. AI can cut most operational costs by as much as 30% across functions: procurement, finance, customer service, logistics, and compliance. McKinsey data confirms companies adopting AI and automation reduce operational costs by 20 to 30 percent. This is not a future opportunity. It is a present imperative. Every rupee of cost removed through AI is a rupee that does not need to be recovered through revenue in a deteriorating currency environment. Start now with your highest-cost functions.The CFO as CaptainCurrency risk is a cash flow risk. Every function that touches foreign currency—procurement, treasury, sales, capex planning— must now report into a single coordinating authority. That authority is the CFO. This is not about hierarchy. It is about clarity. In a currency crisis, fragmented decision-making is as dangerous as wrong decision making. One captain. One consolidated view. Weekly reviews minimum.The Bigger PictureThis currency depreciation is a structural signal, not a cyclical one. India's economy must move from a cheap labour advantage to genuine global value creation.The companies that will survive and thrive are those building products and services that command premium prices in global markets. The rupee's weakness is a reminder that competing on cost alone has limits.The recently concluded trade agreements are a genuine opportunity. Execute them with full force. Build the export pipelines. Add the sales capacity.The businesses that move now, with discipline and clarity, will manage market psychology, navigate the debt trap, and define the next chapter of Indian industry.The shock is coming. Prepare before it arrives.Ram Charan is the author of China’s 90% model. It is restricting India’s industrial progress. Former Director of Hindalco and Muyuan (China).
Mumbai: Major brokers are preparing to roll out algorithmic tools for retail traders over the next few months, amid greater regulatory clarity on retail participation in such trading practices.The move is set to not only help brokers expand revenue streams by charging fees to access the trading algorithms (algos), but also help fintech firms scale up by distributing their algo strategies across multiple platforms. Retail clients may be able to access such strategies for as little as ₹5,000 per strategy.Algorithmic or algo strategies use computer programs or pre-set formulas to execute trades when certain conditions like price, volume or technical patterns are met.Sebi's revised framework for safer participation of retail investors in algorithmic trading has been fully implemented since April 2026. It stipulates that brokers must obtain exchange approval for each algo, tag all orders for audit trails, monitor application programming interface (APIs), and handle investor grievances. In addition, exchanges must supervise algo trading through testing and surveillance. Given the regulatory clarity, many brokers have now rushed to provide services.Large traditional brokers such as HDFC Securities and Motilal Oswal Financial Services already provide algos to clients. Other brokers are in the process of launching such services. Raise Securities, which owns Dhan trading platform, recently acquired the algo-provider startup Stratzy. Angel One, Upstox, SBI Securities, Kotak Securities, IIFL Capital Services and 5paisa are also preparing to offer these services to clients. Groww is also in conversation with algo platforms to onboard some strategies. Email sent to Groww did not elicit a response until press time."While algo trading has been around for some time using APIs provided by brokers, we expect higher adoption by retail customers in the long term," said Gaurav Seth, managing director and chief executive officer at 5paisa Capital.The algo strategies are expected to attract retail derivatives traders. Currently, 12 algo providers or vendors are registered with the NSE.According to Mohit Bhandari, cofounder and chief executive of Stratzy, an algo strategy provider, most retail traders either do naked derivatives trading, or have to create trading strategies using multiple futures and options to hedge their risk, which is difficult to track. "Algo trading provides convenience through automation. It also becomes much easier to deploy sophisticated strategies," Bhandari said.Brokers eye algos offerings"The algorithmic trading landscape is becoming increasingly competitive. We anticipate a significant shift in trading volumes toward algorithmic strategies over the next two years," said Puneet Maheshwari, director at Upstox.
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