A systematic evaluation of the Richards equation for predicting soil moisture in Irish grasslands

arXiv:2607.06182v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: The Richards equation (RE) is widely used to model water flow in unsaturated soils, but its performance in persistently wet grassland systems remains uncertain. This is particularly relevant in Irish grasslands, where soils often remain close to saturation for extended periods and seasonal waterlogging is common. Here, we evaluate the RE against three soil moisture datasets from County Wexford, Ireland, spanning different locations, soil types, and observation periods. We show that the standard RE formulation systematically over-predicts soil moisture under prolonged near-saturated conditions. We find that this arises from the commonly used Feddes plant water uptake function, which suppresses water losses under anaerobic conditions, despite continued evaporation from near-saturated soils. To address this limitation, we introduce a simple modification that retains a small non-zero water loss rate in the anaerobic regime. The modified model produces substantially improved agreement with observations across all three datasets. These results provide a systematic evaluation of RE-based soil moisture modelling in Irish grasslands. More broadly, they identify an important limitation of conventional RE implementations in waterlogged environments and demonstrate a practical approach for improving soil moisture predictions in persistently wet soils. ...