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Odds of a Fed hike this year jump on prediction markets
Following an unexpectedly hot jobs report, prediction market traders see a 52% chance the Federal Reserve increases interest rates this year.
CNBC · "PREDICTION" · 총 16건
필터 보기현재 지수
50.0
0 = 부정 우세
50 = 중립
100 = 긍정 우세
최근 7일 기준 264건을 분석한 결과, 뉴스 심리지수는 50.0(균형)입니다. 긍정 0건(0.0%)·중립 264건(100.0%)·부정 0건(0.0%)이며, 중립 비중이 뚜렷하게 높습니다. 성향 지수는 종합 0.0(중도 균형)입니다.
Following an unexpectedly hot jobs report, prediction market traders see a 52% chance the Federal Reserve increases interest rates this year.
The prediction market platform is developing the platform to create a singular platform for its highly engaged traders.
The cryptocurrency is likely to break below its lows hit in early February, traders on prediction market Kalshi believe.
Prediction market platforms have increasingly looked to institutional traders, not individual ones, as the next venue for growth.
Traders on prediction markets are in consensus with Dow Jones estimates that number of jobs in May will drop from April.
In a series of moves in 2026, the prediction market platform in the U.S. is working to make its event contracts more attractive to institutional trading.
Kalshi said offshore perpetuals grew from $28 trillion in annual volume in 2023 to more than $90 trillion in 2025.
Ives' comments come as part of a wider prediction for the Nasdaq to top 30,000 points by 2027, reiterating his call from earlier interviews with CNBC.
It marks the seventh state the commission has sued in a dispute over who has the right to regulate event contract platforms.
Chances of a nuclear deal between the U.S. and Iran this year haven't moved much on prediction markets after Axios reported that the two agreed to a ceasefire.
Bill Miller, American Gaming Association president and CEO, added that prediction market platforms in his view amount to "backdoor sports betting."
The CFTC has argued it has exclusive authority to regulate the growing prediction market sector rather than state-by-state regulation.
Evercore ISI strategists provide insight for when prediction markets are useful for forecasting.
Congress is ramping up pressure on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket over concerns of insider trading.
After new stakes in quantum companies were revealed, traders on prediction market platform Kalshi think IonQ, Micron and Anduril could be next.
Companies reiterated plans to growing their prediction markets businesses in recent earnings calls even as a regulatory debate continues.