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Oil prices started the week higher after Iran launched ballistic missiles at Israel on Sunday night, heightening fears that U.S.-Iran peace talks might once again fall apart. At the time of writing, Brent crude had climbed 2.51% to $95.43 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate had gained 2.34% to trade at $92.66 per barrel. Sunday's missile salvo marks the first direct Iranian attack on Israel since a ceasefire between the two countries took effect in April. The strikes came just hours after Israel carried out an airstrike in Beirut targeting…

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Iran Says 'No Tangible Progress' in Talks with U.S.

Iran has signaled that there has been “no tangible progress” in the talks with the U.S. on a potential deal while the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire announced by the United States overnight appears shaky. “No tangible progress has been achieved in the negotiation process,” Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi was quoted as saying by the semi-official Iranian news agency Tasnim. The U.S. and Iran have been exchanging messages on a framework proposal for a potential agreement for weeks. The oil market has reacted to each…

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Kazakhstan Turns to U.S. Water Experts as Scarcity Threat Looms

Kazakhstan is turning to a US government agency for help on water conservation. Experts from the Kazakh water-management agency Kazvodhoz held talks recently with representatives of the US Bureau of Reclamation on ways to reduce water use in the agricultural sector, the Kazakh news outlet InBusiness.kz reported. The US Embassy in Astana facilitated the discussions. "The parties paid particular attention to the implementation of digital water metering and telemetry systems within irrigation networks," Kazakhstan’s Ministry of…

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EU Backs Sanctions Relief Path If Iran Accepts Strict Conditions

Any temporary peace agreement between the United States and Iran must be followed by deeper talks about Tehran’s nuclear stockpiles, missiles, and other critical issues, European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said. Speaking at a news conference in Islamabad on June 1, Kallas, the EU high representative for foreign affairs and security policy, said she sees a "tenuous diplomatic opening" to extend the current temporary cease-fire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz despite an exchange of attacks overnight by both Iran and the United States.…

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Oil Pulls Back as Trump Claims Lebanon Ceasefire Deal Is Within Reach

The oil price rally lost steam after President Donald Trump’s diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions in Lebanon calmed commodity markets, pushing global oil prices lower and allowing crude to ease from earlier multi-week highs. Brent crude for August delivery was down 1.7% to trade at $93.35 per barrel at 4.45 am ET, while WTI crude for July delivery was down by a similar margin to change hands at $90.65/bbl. Trump took to Truth Social to claim talks are advancing rapidly and that both Israel and Hezbollah had agreed to halt hostilities.…

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Rystad: U.S.-Iran Re-Escalation Could Drive Oil To $180 By August

An acute re-escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict and a prolonged blockage of the Strait of Hormuz could drive global crude oil prices to $180 per barrel by August, Jorge León, Head of Geopolitical Analysis at Rystad Energy, has projected on CNBC's Squawk Box Europe. According to Rystad's León, this extreme bull-case scenario would materialize in the form of prolonged military strikes, physical damage to infrastructure or full Strait of Hormuz blockade. León says that whereas recent de-escalation talks and temporary ceasefires…

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Norway Strike Could Hit 600 Offshore Workers as Wage Talks Collapse

A potential strike over wages could threaten smooth operations offshore Norway, Western Europe's top oil and gas producer, at a time when the world is scrambling for oil and gas supply amid the Middle East crisis. Almost 8% of oil and gas workers offshore Norway could go on a strike from June 5 if trade union negotiations with industry fail to reach an agreement in a government-brokered mediation process, according to data from the labor unions on Monday. More than 600 workers out of about 8,100 in total offshore Norway could begin a strike later…

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Secretive Azerbaijan Deal Raises Energy Security Concerns in Georgia

Recently signed deals between Georgia and Azerbaijan are raising fresh questions about Tbilisi’s strategic direction and energy security. The deals flowed out of a May 18 meeting in Baku between Georgian Dream Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev. Those talks occurred just weeks after Aliyev’s visit to Tbilisi, where he also met Georgia’s de facto ruler, Bidzina Ivanishvili. Despite their political significance, the full texts of the agreements signed while Kobakhidze was in Baku remain undisclosed,…

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Ceasefire Talks Trigger Massive Selloff in Crude Futures

July WTI crude oil suffered its largest weekly decline in months as traders aggressively removed geopolitical risk premium from the market on growing hopes that diplomacy between Washington and Tehran could eventually succeed. Through Thursday, May 28, July WTI crude oil traded between a high of $94.70 and a low of $87.11 before settling at $88.60, down $8.40, or 8.66%, for the week. The selloff was notable because it occurred while many of the bullish supply factors that drove crude sharply higher earlier this year remained in place. Traffic through…

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U.S. Extends Deadline for Sale of Lukoil’s Global Assets Again

The U.S. federal government has extended the deadline for talks between Lukoil and potential buyers of its foreign business by another month, until June 27, suggesting the forced divestment process is turning out to be more complicated than maybe hoped for. This is the sixth extension of the deadline, after the Trump administration imposed individual sanctions on Lukoil last October, forcing the company to start looking for a buyer for its international business, which is worth an estimated $22 billion. The terms of the deal are that the Russian…

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Oil Prices Jump After Fresh U.S. Strikes on Iran

Oil prices spiked once again in early Asian trade on Thursday after reports of fresh U.S. strikes on Iranian military targets reignited fears that the most recent round of peace talks could give way to further escalation. At the time of writing, WTI was trading at $90.51, up 2.06% on the session, while Brent crude had climbed 2.17% to trade at $96.34. The jump comes after both benchmarks dropped by more than 7% this week as traders became increasingly optimistic over a potential agreement that could restore traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.…

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Middle East Crisis Accelerates U.S.-Thailand LNG Supply Talks

The sudden halt of liquefied natural gas (LNG) flows from the Middle East has prompted Asian buyers to seek long-term solutions to secure supply from sources not needing the blocked Strait of Hormuz. As Qatar’s LNG shipments are under force majeure until at least mid-August and full LNG export capacity may not be restored for another five years, LNG customers are looking to sign long-term supply deals with exporters outside of conflict areas. Thailand, the top LNG importer in Southeast Asia, is now looking to boost its U.S. gas supply to…

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China's Rare Earth Grip Holds Despite Trump-Xi Talks

Donald Trump returned from Beijing calling his two-day summit with Xi Jinping a "success,” but the rare earth market is less convinced. Despite closely watched talks on May 14-15, no formal agreement emerged on China's export controls, and shipments of the critical heavy minerals that power everything from F-35 fighters to electric vehicles remain well below historical levels. That is the assessment from BMI, the Fitch Group research unit, which said China's stranglehold on global rare earth supply is expected to "stay firmly in place"…

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Europe’s Gas Prices Drop 5% On Renewed U.S.-Iran Talks Optimism

European natural gas prices fell more than 5% to around €46.3 per megawatt hour, their lowest level in two weeks, amid optimism that the United States and Iran could soon reach a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz following U.S. President Donald Trump’s statement that a deal was nearing finalization after extensive calls with Middle Eastern leaders and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Hours later, Trump shifted his tone on the social media site, revealing that he had instructed U.S. representatives not to rush into a deal…

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Oil Prices Fall 6% as U.S.-Iran Peace Talks Gain Ground

Oil prices were sharply lower on Monday following comments by President Donald Trump that diplomatic negotiations with Iran are advancing, easing market fears of severe energy supply disruptions due to the Middle East conflict. Brent crude for July delivery fell 5.9% to trade at $97.44 per barrel at 7.45 am ET in Monday’s early morning session, slipping below the $100-per-barrel mark for the first time in nearly three weeks while the corresponding WTI contract fell by a similar margin to trade at $90.99/bbl. Easing inflation and supply concerns…

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U.S.-Iran Deal Delayed as Trump Refuses to “Rush” Agreement

President Donald Trump said Sunday that the United States will not “rush” into a nuclear agreement with Iran, stressing that negotiations remain ongoing and that both sides must take the time to “get it right” as talks continue over the future of the Strait of Hormuz and Tehran’s uranium program. “Our relationship with Iran is becoming a much more professional and productive one,” Trump wrote in a social media post. “They must understand, however, that they cannot develop or procure a Nuclear Weapon…

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