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IAEA Warns Iran Nuclear Risk Has Increased

The possibility of Iran developing a nuclear weapon is now higher than it was before the United States and Israel first attacked the country in February, the International Atomic Energy Agency has concluded in a report. The conclusion suggests the war has so far resulted in the opposite of what President Trump set out to do, namely, prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. Bloomberg cited the report, which has restricted access, saying that in it, the IAEA had warned its member states that Iran already has a large stockpile of enriched uranium…

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China Eases Order for Teapot Refiners to Keep Fuel Output High

China has allowed some independent refiners to reduce processing rates amid mounting losses as Chinese crude and fuel stockpiles remain comfortably high despite the Middle East crisis. In the early weeks of the Iran war and the inability of Middle Eastern exporters to ship crude through the Strait of Hormuz, Chinese authorities directed the private refiners, the so-called teapots, to maintain high levels of gasoline and diesel supply, even at a loss, or risk their crude import quotas slashed if they reduce run rates. Two months after this directive,…

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Ceasefire Uncertainty Remains the Biggest Driver for Oil Markets

Iran is reviewing the latest U.S. ceasefire proposal, raising hopes of a truce extension and tempering oil prices as traders weigh the risk of renewed Middle East disruptions. Ukraine’s Refinery War Gives Russian Crude an Export Passport - Ukraine is inadvertently pushing increasing amounts of Russian crude into the export markets as Kyiv’s intensified drone strikes on Russia’s downstream assets free up more oil. - Russia’s seaborne exports in 2026 to date have averaged 3.46 million b/d, the highest pace of loadings since…

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The Next Stranded Asset Crisis Could Hit Utilities

Can it be real? Utility stocks offer a super combination of high dividends, steady growth, and potential total returns that exceed the cost of capital? All that with captive customers and the government standing by to make sure it all works out that way. Too good to be true? What about risks? Risk in business has two meanings: the possibility of loss (or what might cause that loss) or the possibility that investments do not earn expected returns (or the cause of that underperformance). Utility planning tends to assume continuance of prevailing…

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Goldman Sachs Sees Oil Demand Destruction Offsetting Supply Shock Risks

Demand destruction resulting from higher prices will somewhat soften the blow from physically tighter oil markets, Goldman Sachs commodity analysts said in a note. “We see significant upside price risks from potentially more persistent Mideast supply losses but also meaningful price downside from weaker demand,” the team said, as quoted by Bloomberg. “Actual end-use oil demand may have fallen more in response to higher prices than expected.” The investment bank’s analysts estimate that the extent of demand destruction…

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Chevron CEO: Multiple Ships Attacked In Strait of Hormuz

Multiple vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz have suffered attacks this week, Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX) Chief Executive Officer Mike Wirth revealed in an interview on Bloomberg TV on Friday. According to Wirth, these previously unreported incidents highlight ongoing risks for ships plying the channel despite any ongoing diplomatic efforts. Commercial shipping traffic through the key chokepoint--which normally carries 20% of the world’s petroleum--remains paralyzed with traffic at roughly 10% of its pre-war levels. Wirth says Chevron currently…

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India's Central Bank Warns Oil Shock Threatens Growth

India's economy remains resilient to the external shocks, but the oil price surge amid the global supply disruption poses near-term downside risks to economic growth and upside risks to inflation, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said in its Annual Report for 2025-26 published on Friday. "Against the backdrop of a moderate global growth, the outlook for the Indian economy in 2026-27 remains positive, supported by strong macroeconomic fundamentals, although a prolonged West Asia conflict may pose downside risk," economists at India's central bank…

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Two Risky Small Cap Energy Stocks to Buy and Hold

Energy is usually seen as quite a conservative sector for investors. Constant demand for the product and relatively high dividend payouts create investments that, while not immune from risk, are often seen as a safe play, as somewhere to hide in troubled times. That, though, is an oversimplification. While there will always be a growing demand for energy as long as we continue to automate and electrify our lives, energy demand is still sensitive to economic conditions. In addition, the ways in which we generate power are constantly changing. The…

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Ceasefire Talks Trigger Massive Selloff in Crude Futures

July WTI crude oil suffered its largest weekly decline in months as traders aggressively removed geopolitical risk premium from the market on growing hopes that diplomacy between Washington and Tehran could eventually succeed. Through Thursday, May 28, July WTI crude oil traded between a high of $94.70 and a low of $87.11 before settling at $88.60, down $8.40, or 8.66%, for the week. The selloff was notable because it occurred while many of the bullish supply factors that drove crude sharply higher earlier this year remained in place. Traffic through…

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Europe Turns to Canadian LNG as Gulf and Russian Gas Risks Deepen

A number of European energy utilities have expressed interest in buying the future output of the Ksi Lisims LNG project, which will be Canada’s second export facility for liquefied gas. The Ksi Lisims LNG facility already has offtake agreements for 5 million tons in annual production, but the companies behind the project want to secure commitments for another 3 to 4 million tons, the chief executive of Western LNG, the project leader, told Reuters in an interview. The Ksi Lisims plant will have a total annual capacity of 12 million tons of…

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China’s Return to the Energy Market Could Become the Next Global Price Shock

For months, China’s reduced appetite for oil and LNG imports has helped ease some of the pressure on already-strained global energy markets. But Beijing’s current strategy appears less about weakening demand and more about caution amid the Iran war and the growing risks surrounding Middle Eastern supply routes. Chinese buyers have been drawing down inventories, slowing refinery activity, and delaying spot purchases while waiting for safer and potentially cheaper cargo opportunities. The problem for global markets is that this balancing…

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Europe’s Arctic Oil Dilemma Deepens as Supply Fears Grow

A dozen financial institutions from Scandinavia have urged the European Commission to remain firm in its opposition to Arctic oil drilling even as the bloc faces physical oil shortages in weeks, according to energy experts. “The Arctic is one of the planet's most vulnerable ecosystems and home to unique wildlife .... Further oil and gas expansion would add pressure to these globally significant ecosystems, by increasing the risk of oil spills and leakages,” the lenders said in a letter organized by the Nordic Center for Sustainable…

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European Gas Storage Can’t Survive 3 More Months of Hormuz

Europe could face a critical shortfall in natural gas stocks if shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz persist for another 1-3 months, senior executives at Norwegian energy giant, Equinor ASA (NYSE:EQNR), have warned. Europe entered the current summer refill season with severely depleted gas reserves, with gas stores only 28% full following a prolonged winter. Europe’s storage levels are currently at 35-37%, significantly below the 50% seasonal norm, increasing the risk that the continent will miss its usual 90% target at the beginning…

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EU's 20th Sanctions Package Forces Kyrgyzstan's Hand on Russia Trade

Kyrgyzstan has taken sweeping action to clamp down on companies suspected of circumventing Western sanctions imposed on Russia following its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The Kyrgyz Justice Ministry has announced that 50 companies will be forced to suspend their activities after they had been flagged by Western partners. "After they report risks, we study them and respond. For example, the United States and the United Kingdom have made allegations regarding 51 companies," Deputy Prime Minister Daniyar Amangeldiev told state news agency…

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IAEA Warns Iran Nuclear Risk Has Increased

China Eases Order for Teapot Refiners to Keep Fuel Output High

Ceasefire Uncertainty Remains the Biggest Driver for Oil Markets

The Next Stranded Asset Crisis Could Hit Utilities

Goldman Sachs Sees Oil Demand Destruction Offsetting Supply Shock Risks

Chevron CEO: Multiple Ships Attacked In Strait of Hormuz

India's Central Bank Warns Oil Shock Threatens Growth

Two Risky Small Cap Energy Stocks to Buy and Hold

Ceasefire Talks Trigger Massive Selloff in Crude Futures

Europe Turns to Canadian LNG as Gulf and Russian Gas Risks Deepen

China’s Return to the Energy Market Could Become the Next Global Price Shock

Europe’s Arctic Oil Dilemma Deepens as Supply Fears Grow

European Gas Storage Can’t Survive 3 More Months of Hormuz

EU's 20th Sanctions Package Forces Kyrgyzstan's Hand on Russia Trade