Middle East Crisis: Risks and Impacts for Food Security in Tanzania (May 2026)
Country: United Republic of Tanzania Source: World Food Programme Please refer to the attached file. (Excerpt) Impacts โข >33% surge in petrol and diesel prices. โข Soaring Transport Fares: Rising fuel costs have led to increased transport fares (15% - 25%). Commuter buses (daladala), ride-hailing taxis and long-distance bus fares have also been adjusted to reflect the increased operational costs for operators, causing increased financial strain on passengers. โข Industrial and Logistics Impact: The hike in diesel prices is impacting the manufacturing sector, causing an increase in logistics and transportation costs, which in turn leads to increased prices for goods and food, impacting the overall cost of living. Overland and inland transport cost for WFP Tanzania is increasing by 10%, following formal requests from some logistics service providers. โข Cost of Living Inflation: Rise in transport, food, and other household necessities, as businesses pass on the higher operational costs to consumers. Sampled markets in Dar es salaam revealed increase in some food items after the introduction of new fuel prices in April 2026 as follows: o Cooking Oil (20 โ 24%) o Drinking water (17% - 25%) o Potatoes (17%) o Green banana (50%) o Bread (20%) o Onions (18%) โข Economic Strain: The surge in fuel prices, a result of disruptions in global supply, is putting pressure on the Tanzanian economy, with some analysts warning of a potential economic shock if the situation persists. โข Regional Disparities: The Lake Zone regions, including Mwanza, Shinyanga, Geita, Kagera, Simiyu, and Mara, are expected to be most affected by the fuel price increases due to transportation costs from Dar es Salaam. โข Low-Income Households: Rising food prices, resulting from higher transport costs, disproportionately impact the poor. Low-income households, small traders, and daily commuters are the most affected by fuel price surge.