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Not a single drop of water will flow to Pakistan, says union minister on Indus Water Treaty

India put the treaty with Pakistan in abeyance after Pahalgam terror on April 22 last year which left 26 people dead, most of whom were civilians.

Bank stocks rally as RBI steps lift mood, trigger short covering

Bank stocks gained as much as 5% on Tuesday after the raft of measures introduced by RBI to help hedge foreign currency borrowings stoked investor optimism and led to traders covering some of their bearish bets.Bank Nifty rose 2.1% to 55,194.50; and closed above 55,000 levels after two weeks while benchmark Nifty moved 0.5% higher on Tuesday. All 14 constituents of Bank Nifty moved higher on Tuesday. .Bank of Baroda jumped 5.5% while Canara Bank climbed 4.5%. Punjab National Bank and Federal Bank advanced around 3.5%."The measures by RBI are likely to drive a healthy deposit base for banks and lead to cheaper cost of funds since the hedging cost on FCNRB is borne by the Central Bank while the hedging costs on ECB's is subsidised," said Dharmesh Kant, head of research, Cholamandalam Securities.131622603Last week, the RBI announced measures to boost foreign currency inflows and to support the rupee. The Central Bank offered concessional dollar-rupee swap facility to absorb the entire forex hedging costs for three-to-five-year Foreign Currency Non-Resident (FCNR[B]) deposits until October 16, 2026. In addition, it offered a concessional swap facility for eligible External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs) raised by public sector entities, fixing the hedging cost at 1.5% per annum.This policy allows Indian banks to access low-cost global capital and alleviate domestic deposit crunches without bearing currency risk, said analysts. "The sudden fundamental clarity triggered massive technical short covering, catching derivative traders by surprise and sparking a rapid short squeeze since the Put-Call Ratio (PCR) had dropped into an oversold zone below 0.80 ahead of the news," said Nishchal Jain, Quant Researcher, Share. Market by Phone Pe.The high-volume breakout past 55,100 and decisive price action, shifts the market regime from "sell on rallies" to "buy on dips", establishing 55,000 as a strong psychological support base- forming a high-conviction bullish view, he said.

Jio BlackRock prepares ETF debut by August after building $2 billion India fund base

Jio BlackRock Asset Management plans to launch its first exchange-traded funds in India by August, seeking to replicate BlackRock's global success in passive investing in a market where ETFs are still nascent. The joint venture between Mukesh Ambani's Jio Financial Services and the world's largest asset manager has amassed about 180 billion rupees ($1.9 billion) in assets under management in roughly a year since ‌its launch ⁠by building ⁠a base in cash, debt-index and active equity funds. It plans to start with equity-focused ETF strategies. BlackRock oversees about $5.1 trillion in ETF assets globally, more than a third of its total assets under management, underscoring the importance of the product line to its franchise. Jio BlackRock currently ranks as India's 29th-largest asset manager. "ETFs are a long-term play. While it is a predominantly institutional heavy market (in India), retail are starting to get more involved in ETFs. ⁠And we ‌can see from global trends how well ETFs have been adopted as a choice for investing," Sid Swaminathan, managing director and chief executive officer of ⁠Jio BlackRock Asset Management, told Reuters. ETF INNOVATION COULD BOOST LIQUIDITY Passive mutual fund assets in India stood at 15.20 trillion rupees in April, or about 18.5% of the industry's 81.94 trillion rupees in average assets under management, according to data from the mutual fund industry association. By comparison, equity index funds and ETFs account for about 45.3% of long-term mutual fund and ETF assets in the U.S. Swaminathan said tighter bid-offer spreads and more innovative strategies could help improve liquidity and boost ‌retail participation in Indian ETFs. The company also plans to launch products in Gujarat International Finance Tec-City (GIFT City), India's low-tax financial hub competing with centres such as Singapore and Dubai, within the ⁠next couple of months. COMPLEX PRODUCTS PROMPT PIVOT TO DISTRIBUTOR-LED MODEL For more complex offerings, including special investment funds and GIFT City products, Jio BlackRock has adopted a distributor-led model rather than a digital-first approach, reflecting the continued role of advisers in selling higher-ticket products. Swaminathan said the decision to prioritise those launches was partly shaped by market conditions. India's benchmark Nifty 50 is down 11.1% so far in 2026 amid foreign outflows, higher oil prices and moderating earnings growth, while MSCI's Asia-Pacific ex-Japan index is up 18.2%.

How India is trying to attract foreign capital

As the rupee came under pressure from rising crude oil prices, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and sustained foreign portfolio investor (FPI) outflows, the government and the Reserve Bank of India rolled out a set of measures over Friday and Monday aimed at attracting foreign capital and strengthening India's external position.The RBI, while keeping the repo rate unchanged at 5.25% in its June monetary policy review, unveiled a package to boost dollar inflows. Simultaneously, the government followed up with a tax ordinance exempting foreign investors from taxes on investments in government securities. Together, the measures are designed to improve India's balance of payments, ease pressure on the rupee and make Indian debt markets more attractive to overseas investors.Also Read: India scrapping tax for foreign investors in govt bonds aimed at inclusion in Bloomberg index, govt official saysSo, why were policymakers worried?The West Asia conflict and its impact globally is no secret. The ripple effects are real. The rupee had come under pressure in recent weeks trading in the range of ₹95.20 to ₹95.80 against the US Dollar as crude oil prices surged following the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict, raising concerns over India's import bill and current account deficit. However, a surprise sprang on Monday when India reported a current account surplus of $7.1 billion in the fourth quarter of FY26. The RBI's package1. Concessional forex swap facility for overseas borrowingsThe RBI introduced a special dollar-rupee swap facility at a concessional rate for public sector entities and banks raising funds overseas. The facility will remain available until September 30.Companies often borrow abroad but must hedge currency risk. Hedging can be expensive. By lowering that cost, the RBI is encouraging more overseas borrowing and, consequently, more dollar inflows into India.2. RBI to bear hedging costs on FCNR(B) depositsOn Monday, the RBI issued detailed guidelines for the FCNR(B) deposit scheme announced during the monetary policy.Also Read: Deposits under RBI's latest foreign currency non-resident bank scheme will carry one-year lock-inUnder the framework, banks can mobilise fresh FCNR(B) deposits with maturities of three to five years between June 8 and September 30 and swap the dollar inflows with the RBI. The swap window will remain available until October 16. The central bank will bear the entire hedging cost, effectively allowing banks to hedge these deposits at par. Banks can also offer leverage against such deposits.The RBI also exempted these deposits from Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) requirements, improving the economics of mobilising foreign currency deposits.To ensure stability of inflows, deposits raised under the scheme will carry a mandatory one-year lock-in period. Banks will not be allowed to cancel swaps undertaken with the RBI before maturity. The RBI further exempted swap positions arising from FCNR(B) deposits from net unhedged foreign exchange exposure calculations.This is the closest India has come since the 2013 FCNR(B) mobilisation scheme launched during the rupee crisis. By eliminating hedging costs, providing CRR and SLR relief, relaxing regulatory treatment and offering a dedicated swap window, the RBI is giving banks a strong incentive to attract dollar deposits from overseas Indians. Why analysts think this scheme could be bigger than 2013Brokerage Jefferies believes the latest package could attract $50-70 billion of foreign currency inflows, substantially higher than the inflows generated under the 2013 FCNR(B) scheme.The brokerage argues that the current framework is more attractive than the one introduced during the rupee crisis more than a decade ago. While banks had to bear hedging costs of around 3.5% under the 2013 scheme, the RBI is now absorbing the entire cost. The deposits are also exempt from CRR and SLR requirements, similar to the earlier programme.A key difference this time is the ability to use leverage. Jefferies noted that the RBI has permitted banks to provide standby letters of credit (SBLCs), potentially allowing depositors to amplify returns through leverage. According to the brokerage, this could significantly improve the attractiveness of FCNR(B) deposits for overseas investors.3. Expansion of the Fully Accessible Route (FAR)The RBI expanded the FAR framework to include all new 15-year, 30-year and 40-year government securities and removed concentration limits for foreign investors.Large global investors, including pension and sovereign funds, prefer long-dated bonds. The move widens the universe of Indian government securities available for unrestricted foreign investment.4. Easier access for non-resident investorsThe RBI broadened investment access for individuals residing outside India and eased certain norms governing non-resident participation in Indian markets.The measure aims to tap a larger pool of overseas capital, particularly from the Indian diaspora.The Government's follow-up Tax reliefAfter the RBI's measures, the government issued the Income-tax (Amendment) Ordinance, 2026.5. Capital gains tax exemption on government bondsThe ordinance exempted foreign institutional investors and the Bank for International Settlements from capital gains tax on investments in specified government securities. Earlier, long-term gains attracted a 12.5% tax.1316102436. Interest income tax exemptionThe government also removed taxes on interest income earned by eligible foreign investors from these government securities. Previously, interest income faced a 20% withholding tax.131610254

Cross-Voting Threat? Congress Flies MP Legislators To Karnataka Ahead Of Rajya Sabha Polls

Ahead of the June 18 Rajya Sabha polls, Congress has flown most of its Madhya Pradesh MLAs to Karnataka, alleging BJP attempts to contact and poach legislators.

RBI to fully absorb forex risks, inflows may see $50bn boost

Asian stocks rebound on Iran optimism, AI trade

Asian stocks rebounded from their biggest drop since March as tensions in the Middle East eased and a selloff in artificial intelligence shares abated.The Kospi Index, the world’s best-performing gauge this year on the back of AI trade, gained 4.4% and the Nikkei rose 0.9%. That sent the broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index higher by 0.9%, following three days of losses spurred by factors including bets for an interest-rate hike by the Federal Reserve.Advances in Asia came after Wall Street gauges recovered, with chipmakers such as Nvidia Corp. and Micron Technology Inc. climbing. Intel Corp. shares rose the most in a month after the Information reported that Alphabet Inc.’s Google will use it to make chips.Brent crude traded steady at around $94.40 per barrel. The commodity pared much of its advance in the previous session as Iran and Israel pledged to ease strikes that threatened the peace talks in the Middle East.131599215After a brief interruption to the rally that propelled stocks to record highs, investors returned to risk assets during the New York session, signaling confidence that the bull market remains intact. The recovery was aided by easing geopolitical concerns and renewed demand for AI shares after last week’s steep decline.“Markets rarely move in a straight line at the pace seen since the March lows,” according to Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, who maintained his constructive outlook, supported by earnings and strong economic data. “A correction was inevitable and ultimately healthy if this bull market is going to extend into year-end.” Meanwhile, Iran and Israel agreed to ease strikes against each other after a flare-up in violence threatened to derail peace negotiations and led President Donald Trump to appeal for de-escalation.Attention remains focused on whether energy flows will resume meaningfully via the Strait of Hormuz. A trickle of commercial shipping returned to the waterway over the weekend, even as the risks prompted some vessels to travel with their digital transponders switched off.Oil prices and their impact on inflation are key factors traders are watching after Friday’s blowout payrolls report reinforced bets on a rate hike. The May consumer price index due Wednesday is expected to jump by 4.2% from a year earlier — the highest rate in more than three years. But the core CPI is seen cooling slightly on a monthly basis — potentially providing a welcome signal to Fed officials. Meantime, Citigroup Inc. strategists led by Scott Chronert raised their year-end target for the S&P 500 after a “big step up” in earnings expectations.“We do not expect investors to lose confidence in the AI outlook,” said Mark Haefele at UBS Global Wealth Management. “Although tech stocks have come under pressure in recent days amid concerns about whether expectations can be met, business fundamentals remain strong.”Not everyone was as bullish. Investors should exercise caution regarding US stocks as an increasing number of “bear market signposts” point to an approaching top, according to Bank of America Securities.There are “too many red flags,” strategists led by Savita Subramanian wrote in a note dated June 5. “Take profits,” they said.

US-Iran Peace Deadlock Explained: Is Israel The Reason & Is Bharat Ready For Direct War Impact?

Why are the US and Iran unable to achieve peace? Is Israel the main reason behind the deadlock? And most importantly, is Bharat prepared to face the direct impact of the ongoing West Asia conflict?In this explainer, we break down the key factors behind the US-Iran peace deadlock, Israel’s role in the crisis, Donald Trump’s possible peace options, and why the Bab-Al-Mandeb Strait is so crucial for global trade and the world economy.The discussion also focuses on India’s preparedness as tensions in West Asia threaten oil supplies, shipping routes, inflation, energy security, Indian workers in the Gulf, and trade flows. With the Strait of Hormuz and Bab-Al-Mandeb becoming major flashpoints, Bharat’s diplomatic and economic strategy is under close watch. n18oc_the-right-stand n18oc_india n18oc_world News18 Mobile App - https://onelink.to/desc-youtube

Government to sell 3% stake in NLC India through OFS, sets floor price at Rs 303

The government on Monday announced an offer for sale (OFS) in state-run NLC India, seeking to divest up to 3% of its stake through a two-day share sale process. The OFS comprises a base offer of 2% equity, equivalent to 2.78 crore shares, along with a greenshoe option of another 1% stake, or 1.39 crore shares, in case of strong investor demand.The government has fixed the floor price at Rs 303 per share, a discount to the stock's previous closing price. Based on the floor price, the government stands to raise about Rs 842 crore through the base offer. If the greenshoe option is fully exercised, the total issue size could increase to around Rs 1,263 crore.The OFS will open for non-retail investors on June 9, while retail investors and eligible employees can bid on June 10. The share sale will be conducted through a separate window mechanism on the BSE and NSE in line with Sebi's OFS framework.The transaction forms part of the government's broader disinvestment programme and comes amid a strong run in PSU stocks over the past few years.NLC India, formerly known as Neyveli Lignite Corporation, is one of India's leading mining and power generation companies. The company operates lignite mines and thermal power stations while also expanding its renewable energy portfolio.The PSU has emerged as a beneficiary of India's rising power demand and the government's focus on energy security. In recent years, the company has diversified beyond lignite mining into solar and other renewable energy projects as part of its long-term growth strategy.The government highlighted NLC India's strong operational and financial performance while announcing the OFS, describing the company as a long-term investment opportunity supported by consistent profitability and dividend payouts.NLC India has maintained a track record of returning cash to shareholders through regular dividends and has benefited from improving plant performance, higher power generation and growth in mining operations.The OFS comes at a time when institutional and retail participation in government stake sales has remained healthy, particularly in profitable PSUs with stable cash flows and attractive dividend yields.Investors will now watch subscription levels closely to gauge demand for the issue, especially given the government's decision to keep a greenshoe option that allows it to sell an additional 1% stake if the offer is oversubscribed.

Should you worry about gold as MFs stop new inflows?

Current account surplus at $7.1 bn in Q4

India recorded a current account surplus of $7.1 billion, or 0.7% of GDP, in the January-March quarter of FY26, supported by strong growth in services exports and remittance inflows, according to data released by the Reserve Bank of India on Monday.The surplus was lower than the $13.7 billion, or 1.4% of GDP, recorded in the corresponding quarter of the previous year.The country's merchandise trade deficit widened to $83.4 billion during the quarter, compared with $59.3 billion a year earlier, reflecting higher import outgo. However, this was partly offset by a rise in net services receipts to $60.4 billion from $53.3 billion in the year-ago period, driven by growth in computer services and other business services exports.Also read: FPI exodus from financials cools, but foreign investors remain net sellersAs per the central bank data, remittance inflows remained a key pillar of external stability, with personal transfer receipts, largely including money sent home by Indians working overseas, rising to $43.5 billion in the March quarter from $33.9 billion a year ago. Meanwhile, net outgo under the primary income account declined to $11.1 billion from $11.9 billion, providing additional support to the current account balance.Capital flows in Q4 FY26According to RBI data, net foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows stood at $4.2 billion during the quarter, higher than $0.4 billion in the year-ago period.Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) recorded a net outflow of $12 billion in the March quarter, compared with a net outflow of $5.9 billion a year earlier.Non-resident Indian (NRI) deposits registered net inflows of $3.3 billion, up from $2.8 billion in the corresponding quarter of FY25. Net inflows through external commercial borrowings (ECBs) amounted to $3.6 billion, compared with $7.5 billion a year ago.Foreign exchange reserves increased by $7.2 billion on a balance of payments basis during the quarter, compared with an accretion of $8.8 billion in the year-ago period.FY26 balance of paymentsFor the financial year 2025-26, India’s current account deficit stood at $25.2 billion, equivalent to 0.6% of GDP, compared with a deficit of $22.9 billion, or 0.6% of GDP, in FY25.The merchandise trade deficit widened to $337.3 billion in FY26 from $286.9 billion a year earlier. Net services receipts rose to $216.6 billion from $188.8 billion, while secondary income receipts increased to $143.6 billion from $123.5 billion.Net invisibles receipts stood at $312 billion in FY26, higher than $264 billion in the previous year, primarily on account of net services receipts and net personal transfers.Capital flows in FY26Net FDI inflows increased to $6.9 billion in FY26 from $1 billion in FY25. FPIs recorded net outflows of $16.4 billion during FY26, compared with net inflows of $3.6 billion in the previous year.Foreign exchange reserves declined by $23.6 billion on a balance of payments basis in FY26, compared with a depletion of $5 billion in FY25.

Private sector banks are the best contrarian bet for the next 3 years, says S Naren

The continued rise in leverage among retail and high-net-worth investors through derivatives and margin trading facilities (MTFs) remains a key concern for the market, S Naren, Executive Director and CIO of ICICI Prudential AMC said at ICICI Securities India Investor Conference 2026.While there has been significant discussion around the sustainability of mutual fund inflows and SIP contributions, Naren believes leverage in the derivatives market poses a much bigger risk than any moderation in mutual fund investments.Also Read | Sensex down over 10K points from Dec peak. Should investors buy the dip, hold positions, or wait on sidelines? "The level of leverage in the derivatives market and the amount of margin trading funding taken from brokers have continued to increase. That is a concern because leverage among retail and HNI investors is rising," he said.According to Naren, even if SIP inflows witness a marginal slowdown, it is unlikely to pose a significant challenge as mutual fund investors are typically long-term participants who invest without leverage. In contrast, derivative traders often operate with borrowed money, increasing risks during periods of market volatility.He noted that margin trading facility exposure is currently at its highest-ever level, highlighting the growing appetite for leveraged market participation.Against this backdrop, Naren sees an interesting contrarian opportunity emerging in segments that have witnessed relentless foreign institutional investor (FII) selling over the last 20 months."If you look for something contrarian today, it would be stocks where FIIs have been persistent sellers over the last 20 months," he said.Among these, private sector banks stand out as one of the most attractive investment opportunities for long-term investors, according to Naren.He believes private banks could emerge as the best-performing sector over the next three years. One key reason is the significant reduction in foreign ownership resulting from sustained FII selling.Also Read | Four mutual funds restrict large inflows into gold ETFs and FoFs; Rs 25 crore cap imposed "FIIs used to have nearly 40% of their India portfolios allocated to private banks. Whenever they wanted to reduce exposure to India, private banks became the natural source of liquidity," Naren explained.As a result, FIIs have consistently sold private banking stocks over the last 20 months, creating a valuation opportunity for long-term investors willing to take a contrarian view.Beyond equities, Naren remains optimistic about India's debt markets following recent policy measures aimed at improving foreign investor participation.According to him, two critical factors that influence foreign investment in debt markets—currency stability and taxation—have both moved decisively in India's favour."In debt, there are two factors: currency and taxation. Both have turned very positive, which significantly improves India's attractiveness," he said.Naren believes these developments improve India's chances of gaining inclusion in global bond indices such as the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index and have contributed to a highly optimistic mood in the domestic debt market.He pointed out that bond yields have moved well below policy rates in several segments, particularly in three-year corporate bonds, creating attractive investment opportunities.However, Naren cautioned that the global fixed-income environment today is very different from what prevailed during the 2013 taper tantrum period.At that time, interest rates across much of the developed world were close to zero, making India's bond yields highly attractive to international investors. Today, investors can earn meaningful returns even in developed-market government bonds."US 30-year government bonds are yielding around 5%, and even Japanese government bond yields are at levels not seen for decades," he said.As a result, the yield differential between India and developed markets has narrowed significantly compared with 2013.Also Read | Gold and silver ETFs slip up to 8% amid Israel attack and crude oil spike. What should investors do? While India has strengthened its macroeconomic position considerably over the past decade, global investors now have a wider range of attractive fixed-income options available to them.Naren also highlighted the relatively small size of foreign portfolio investor exposure to Indian debt compared with equities.According to him, FPI debt investments remain only a fraction of FPI equity allocations. In contrast, foreign investors had built substantial equity positions in India during a period when domestic valuations traded at significant premiums to other emerging markets.He noted that Indian equities became exceptionally expensive after 2023 as domestic investors increasingly channelled savings into equities rather than debt."Valuations in India reached levels that were several times higher than markets like China. In such an environment, FIIs logically chose to reduce equity exposure," he said.At the same time, India has historically adopted a cautious approach towards opening its debt markets to foreign investors.Naren believes this measured approach has helped preserve financial stability while gradually increasing foreign participation in government securities.With improving debt market fundamentals, supportive policy measures, and attractive opportunities emerging in sectors overlooked by foreign investors, Naren sees both fixed income and select equity segments offering compelling opportunities for long-term investors.Commenting on the recent correction in Kospi, Naren said that it is a healthy correction but even now I don't think on market cap terms it is cheap.(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions on ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in alongwith your age, risk profile, and Twitter handle.

Poison for profit? Why toxic agrochemicals still flow freely across India

Poison for profit? Why toxic agrochemicals still flow freely across India

Hormuz Will Be Open But With Transit Fees, Says Iran's Envoy To Moscow

The US-Israeli war on Iran has largely cut oil flows via the strait.

India ₹ defense lifts forex tool past $110B

The Reserve Bank of India’s use of a key tool for defending the rupee has passed the $110 billion mark in recent weeks to a new record, according to people familiar with the developments.The RBI’s net-short dollar book, a measure of the degree it has sold forward its stockpile of the US currency, has risen to about $110 billion-$115 billion across onshore and offshore markets, said the people who asked not to be identified as the information is private. The book was at $95.3 billion in April, down from a record high of $103.1 billion the previous month.The central bank ramped up its interventions after the rupee weakened to a record low on May 20, almost hitting the 97 per dollar mark, the people said, adding that a large part of the central bank’s activity was in the offshore non-deliverable forwards market.Also Read: RBI's reform package could pull $40-75b inflows, push rupee to 92-93 and keep August rate on hold The RBI’s use of NDFs, which have grown over the past couple of years, allows the central bank to influence the exchange rate without immediately depleting foreign-exchange reserves. Such interventions can signal policy intent and help steady the currency during periods of volatility.A spokesperson for the RBI didn’t respond to an email seeking comment.131583707The rupee has borne the brunt of the oil-price shock caused by the Iran war, as India depends heavily on imports to meet its energy needs. The currency has repeatedly fallen to record lows this year as refiners sold rupees for dollars to pay for costlier crude. Still, the currency may now find support from coordinated measures rolled out by the government and the RBI on Friday to attract capital flows.Also Read: Reeling rupee drags students abroad deeper into debt at homeIn recent weeks, the central bank has sold offshore dollars largely via short-dated contracts, typically maturing in one-to-three months, the people said. At the same time, it has conducted onshore swaps of maturities of more than a year, they said. These swaps replenish some of the liquidity drain caused by the RBI’s onshore dollar sales aimed at stabilizing the rupee.RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said on Friday that while the authority does not resist market-driven adjustments in the rupee, it curbs excessive volatility in the exchange rate. The currency is often influenced by speculative pressures that are not in sync with fundamentals, he added.The growing derivatives book may still pose challenges. As contracts mature, they generate recurring demand for dollars, capping any sustained recovery in the rupee. The central bank is likely to use any renewed capital flows to unwind its short forward book and rebuild foreign-exchange reserves, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts led by Kamakshya Trivedi.India’s foreign-exchange reserves were at $682.3 billion in the week of May 29, having dropped more than $40 billion since the Iran war began in late February.

Water purifiers fuel a Rs 9,000 crore economy

You do the research, read lists of reviews, compare the filtration stages, and shell out a significant sum for the most promising, tech-savvy water purifier in the market. Then, just two months into installation, the machine starts throwing a series of confusing, flashing signals. The premium buying experience instantly evaporates, replaced by the sheer frustration of tracking down customer care and waiting at home for a technician to show up.In India’s competitive consumer durables sector, this exact friction point has transformed the landscape of water purifiers. The ultimate battle is no longer just about who can build and sell the best machine; it is increasingly about who can maintain trust after the hole has been drilled in the customer's kitchen wall.While the water purifier market is traditionally viewed through the lens of one-time appliance sales, companies like Eureka Forbes, the legacy player behind AquaGuard, are increasingly betting on a far larger opportunity hidden beneath the surface: the recurring service economy built around filters, annual maintenance contracts (AMCs) and nationwide technician networks.According to internal projections by Anurag Kumar, Chief Growth Officer at Eureka Forbes, the water purifier service market alone is on track to cross Rs 9,000 crore by FY30, nearly matching the projected Rs 10,000 crore size of the product market itself.131582773Also read: Beyond the room: Why India Inc's luxury hospitality bet is becoming an experience businessBreaking down the mathFor decades, the consumer durable playbook was simple: manufacture, distribute, sell, repeat. But water purification is far different from selling a television or a refrigerator; it is an active, evolving health product bound to the fluctuating quality of local municipal and groundwater supplies."The market for product categories for water purifiers is about Rs 3,800 crore today," Kumar says in an exclusive interview with ET Online. "I think you would add another, roughly about Rs 3,500 crore of service category as well to it."Citing independent industry reports, Kumar highlighted that by FY30, this parallel economy is set to explode. The product market will expand to over Rs 10,000 crore, while the service and aftermarket ecosystem will chase it tightly at more than Rs 9,000 crore, growing at a combined double-digit compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% to 12%.This shifting weight from hardware to service fundamentally changes corporate strategies. For an industry dealing with an urban penetration rate of just 14% (and a mere 7% nationally), the recurring revenue from existing households forms a highly resilient cash-flow cushion that protects margins even during macro-economic slowdowns.131582808Service scale becomes the biggest moatThe Rs 9,000 crore service opportunity explains why tech-first aggregators and rental startups are rushing into the service category. However, scaling an on-demand service infrastructure across India’s complex geography is entirely different from coding an app.For legacy companies like Eureka Forbes, this operational network has become a major competitive advantage."After sales service can make or break a brand," says Kumar. "I think a lot of the trust that AquaGuard has today is really thanks to the fact that people have trust in our service... It's a very, very important integral part of our business and a very, very crucial moat that we continue to nurture."To defend this moat against new-age tech startups, Eureka Forbes operates at a scale that resembles a logistics company more than an appliance manufacturer. The company has deployed more than 8,000 technicians mapping out an operational footprint across 19,500 PIN codes.Also read: Apple expected to unveil new AI features at last developers conference with CEO Tim CookThe push to reduce maintenance costs"Once you sell a product, then you have it for life and there's some revenue which comes with it," Kumar says, referring to filter replacements, AMCs and servicing requirements.Interestingly, the biggest threat to this recurring service revenue is not new-age competitors, it has been consumer fatigue over high maintenance costs. Historically, the dread of paying steep annual fees to replace purifier filters has acted as a primary barrier keeping the remaining 86% of urban Indian households from adopting organised water purifiers.To beat this, Eureka Forbes pulled off a counter-intuitive strategic gear: they disrupted their own short-term revenue model to secure long-term market share.Last year, the company introduced a range of purifiers featuring "long-life" filters extending the replacement cycle from the traditional 12 months to a full two years."We did that because we fundamentally heard from consumers that there was also a barrier to the category around maintenance cost being high," Kumar reveals. "What two-year filters actually did was they actually lowered the maintenance cost because now you don't have to change filters every year. You have to change once every two years."Digitising a 1980s direct-sales DNAEureka Forbes, a company historically known for its door-to-door service, and making Aquaguard synonymous with water purifiers in India, faced a new piece of necessary upgrade with building digitisation. The multi-billion dollar service landscape required a complete digital overhaul of consumer interactions. The brand that built its empire in the 1980s on the soles of direct-sales agents knocking on suburban doors has had to pivot entirely to an on-demand, algorithmic infrastructure.An army of thousands of field technicians is only as efficient as the software directing them. For modern consumers who manage their entire lives via smartphone screens, a bland "technician will visit tomorrow" promise no longer cuts it."We've digitised that service," notes Kumar.The long-term playAs water contamination concerns spike across rapidly expanding urban clusters, the structural demand for pure drinking water will continue to climb, and so for water purifiers.However, as the hardware itself faces gradual commoditisation and intense price competition from newer market entrants, the center of gravity has largely shifted. Where the growth moves nextCapturing a dominant share of the service market is only half the blueprint. As Kumar maps out the strategic trajectory for Eureka Forbes over the next three to five years, the company's growth engine eyes two distinct tracks: aggressive geographic widening and targeted product diversification. Geographically, Kumar notes, the company is bypassing deep rural pockets for the time being to focus heavily on India’s rapidly urbanising Tier-2 and Tier-3 towns. Instead, the company is doubling down on smaller towns where they can immediately deploy their signature localised service infrastructure without stretching their logistics network too thin.Simultaneously, the brand is attempting to de-risk its reliance on the kitchen wall by expanding into adjacent consumer durables. Kumar outlined a product pipeline anchored in high-growth, premium categories, including robotic vacuum cleaners, air purifiers, and household water softeners. The underlying playbook here is pure cross-selling. By utilising the same 8,000-strong technician network to service these newer household appliances, Eureka Forbes is betting that its aftermarket footprint can drastically lower its customer acquisition costs; positioning the legacy firm to evolve from a single-product manufacturer into a broader home-health ecosystem player.

100 days of Middle East crisis: What happens when the Strait of Hormuz opens

Iran has indicated the Strait of Hormuz will reopen under new conditions set by Iranian and Omani authorities, potentially including transit fees for services. This comes as oil flows remain constrained following the US-Israeli conflict.

The AI trade trap: Why successful tech stocks are triggering a trillion-dollar market meltdown in Korea, Taiwan

An unprecedented concentration crisis in global technology equities has evolved into a structural trap for investors, triggering a violent "Black Monday" unwind that is reverberating across Asian emerging markets, such as Korea and Taiwan. Active portfolio managers are increasingly being forced to dump their best-performing chip heavyweights because these explosive stocks have grown too large for risk compliance limits.This structural anomaly has distorted regional benchmarks, accelerated a massive migration from active to passive funds, and triggered a historic correction.The structural breakdown manifested in extreme volatility across the region's tech hubs. South Korea’s Kospi index plunged more than 8% shortly after the market opened, triggering a mandatory 20-minute trading halt before narrowing its drop as memory giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix rebounded from their session lows.Also Read | Kospi crashes 9%, trading halted for 20 minutes, as chip rout deepens; Samsung, SK Hynix worst hitThe Cycle of Forced SellingThe core of the market distortion lies in a mechanical paradox: As tech giants outperform, active funds are legally or structurally required to trim their holdings to manage concentration risks. Just three mega-cap tech firms—Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), Samsung, and SK Hynix—now command nearly a third of the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index.The concentration is even more extreme on a national level. TSMC occupies a staggering 41.5% of Taiwan's TAIEX, while Samsung and SK Hynix together comprise 55% of South Korea's KOSPI."We have been forced sellers of TSMC, Samsung and MediaTek," Sam Konrad, investment manager for Asia Equity Income at Jupiter Asset Management, was quoted as saying by Bloomberg. His fund must shed these chipmaking stocks despite explosive year-to-date gains of 52% for TSMC, 159% for Samsung, and 184% for MediaTek.This mechanism creates an institutional dilemma where strong performance mandates divestment, artificially capping the upside for active portfolios trying to beat their benchmarks."As equities continue to outperform, funds will find it increasingly difficult to add exposure, reinforcing a cycle of forced selling and enlarging underweight positions even amid strong fundamentals," Herald Van der Linde, head of equity strategy for Asia Pacific at HSBC in Hong Kong, noted in a research report. HSBC data confirms that TSMC has become the largest portfolio underweight among Asian and global emerging-market funds.Emerging Market Exhaustion and Fund OutflowsData from Elara Securities India confirms that the Global Emerging Market (GEM) trade is experiencing its first major phase of sustained exhaustion since its rally began. GEM fund redemptions expanded to $3 billion, the largest outflow since December 2021, marking a clear breakdown in momentum.The capital flight has extended significantly beyond Korea and Taiwan to hit other major emerging markets. China saw foreign investors pull $3.7 billion, the largest single-week redemption in over a year, while South Korea logged six consecutive weeks of foreign outflows, compounded by a record $27.9 billion foreign portfolio rebalancing outflow.The systemic nature of the unwind is visible in the broader indices. Goldman Sachs data reveals that while the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index is up 27% year-to-date, it is actually down 4% when South Korea and Taiwan are excluded.This regional distortion has accelerated a massive, unprecedented migration from active stock-picking to passive indexing. Over the last five years, Asia's active funds have suffered $269 billion of cumulative outflows. Meanwhile, passive funds have accumulated $510 billion, with a quarter of that volume arriving in just the last six months."The size of recent inflows into the region’s passive funds... has no precedent across the last 10 years," said William Bratton, head of cash equity research for Asia-Pacific at BNP Paribas Securities.This phenomenon mirrors the “Magnificent Seven” dynamic on Wall Street, where tech giants account for about a third of the S&P 500. However, concentration in Asia has unfolded at a faster and more extreme pace, turning regional indices into concentrated bets on just one or two stocks and undermining the diversification benefits of benchmark investing.Broader Trade ImplicationsThe shockwaves from the AI tech unwinding are bleeding directly into structural commodities and the wider electrification ecosystem. Precious metal funds witnessed $2.8 billion of outflows, driven heavily by gold (-$2.1 billion) and silver (-$910 million, a 12-week high redemption), while energy funds recorded their second consecutive week of outflows. These asset classes had operated as indirect beneficiaries of the global AI infrastructure and electrification trade.Furthermore, Wall Street's nine-week winning streak concluded abruptly following a hot jobs report that ignited fears of a hawkish policy pivot by the US Federal Reserve, sending technology stocks into their largest one-day decline.Despite the steep selloffs, which saw South Korean equities slide 12% and Taiwan fall 6% from their record highs, market opinions remain starkly divided on whether this correction marks a peak or a buying opportunity.Some money managers are exploiting the correction to pivot to alternatives further down the supply chain, like mid-sized semiconductor equipment makers, or shifting money toward cheaper domestic themes like robotics. China's CSI Robot Index actually bucked the broader market declines, rising 1.4%.

TCS slips 2%, down 12% in 4 days. What’s behind the drop?

Shares of TCS, India's largest IT services company, plunged 2% to an intraday low of Rs 2,144 on the BSE on Monday as a surge in U.S. bond yields reignited concerns that the Federal Reserve may be forced to raise interest rates later this year. With today's decline, the stock has lost 12% over the last four trading sessions.Higher U.S. bond yields and expectations of tighter monetary policy are generally seen as negative for Indian IT stocks. They tend to compress valuations of growth-oriented companies, raise concerns about slower technology spending by U.S. clients, encourage businesses to focus on cost optimization rather than expansionary IT investments, and can trigger foreign investor outflows from emerging markets.The weakness in TCS also follows a sharp relief rally in IT stocks last week. The sector has remained under pressure through much of 2026 amid growing concerns that rapid advances in artificial intelligence could disrupt the traditional software services business model.Should you buy TCS shares?“We recommend avoiding TCS for now as the major trend is bearish,” Sudeep Shah, Vice President and Head of Technical & Derivatives Research at SBI Securities told ETMarkets. According to Shah, momentum indicators have weakened considerably, with the RSI turning lower after nearing the 60 level, suggesting fading bullish strength. He also pointed out that the stock has slipped below the Bollinger Band midline, an important support level often tracked by technical analysts. With the latest decline, TCS has fallen below several key short- and long-term moving averages, indicating a weakening trend.Harshal Dasani, Business Head at INVasset PMS, said the stock's technical setup has shifted from weakness to a test of a potential breakdown. According to him, the 9% decline following a 6.53% rebound in the last week suggests the earlier recovery was merely a dead-cat bounce rather than evidence of fresh buying interest. "When a large-cap stock gives up a relief rally this quickly, the market is not reacting to a single negative headline. It is repricing the entire low-growth IT model," Dasani said.On the upside, he sees the Rs 2,400-2,450 range as a significant supply zone, since the recent recovery attempt stalled in that region. Dasani added that until TCS manages to reclaim this band with strong participation, any rallies are likely to face selling pressure.TCS share price performanceTCS shares have fallen over 32% since the start of the year and about 37% in the last 1 year.TCS reported a 12% year-on-year rise in consolidated net profit at Rs 13,718 crore for the fourth quarter, while revenue from operations increased 10% YoY to Rs 70,698 crore. The company also announced a final dividend of Rs 31 per share.During the quarter, TCS secured three large deals, taking the total contract value to $12 billion for the period. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, revenue grew 5.4%, while constant currency growth came in at 1.2%, broadly in line with expectations. Operating margin for the January to March quarter stood at 25.3%, up 10 basis points from the previous quarter. (Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

HFCL shares slip 10% in two sessions after sharp 165% rally in 2026

HFCL shares extended their decline on Monday, falling nearly 5% in intraday trade to Rs 177.87, marking a second consecutive day of losses. The stock has now corrected about 10% in just two sessions, largely driven by profit booking after a stellar multi-month rally.Despite the recent pullback, HFCL remains one of the standout performers of 2026, having surged nearly 165% during the year on the back of strong defence orders, rising optical fibre demand, and robust order inflows.A key driver behind HFCL’s sharp upmove has been the growing global demand for high-speed digital infrastructure, fuelled by the rapid expansion of AI technologies. Optical fibre networks are increasingly seen as the backbone of this transformation, placing companies like HFCL in a strong structural growth position.Operationally, the company delivered a strong turnaround in the March quarter. Revenue nearly doubled year-on-year to Rs 1,824 crore, while EBITDA improved significantly to Rs 315 crore, compared to a loss in the previous year. Net profit also swung to Rs 184 crore from a loss of Rs 83 crore, reflecting a clear improvement in business fundamentals.According to Balaji Rao, Research Analyst at Bonanza, “The structural shift is real, product revenue has grown from 27% of the mix in FY21 to 59% in FY26, and exports now account for 41% of revenue. That’s a business fundamentally changing its character.”Order inflow remains supportiveRecently, HFCL received a purchase order worth approximately Rs 135.09 crore from RailTel Corporation of India, a Government of India PSU under the Ministry of Railways. The order is for the annual maintenance contract of the “Secure Operations Network” project for data centres supporting Indian defence forces.Valuation and technical concerns emergeAfter the sharp rally, valuation comfort has reduced, with HFCL trading at a price-to-earnings multiple of around 91.93, significantly higher than many peers in the telecom equipment space.From a technical standpoint, the stock also appears stretched. According to Trendlyne data, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 73.1, a level typically considered overbought, indicating the possibility of short-term consolidation or a pullback.In the March 2026 quarter, Foreign Institutional Investors slightly reduced their stake from 7.48% to 7.08%, while Mutual Funds increased their holdings from 6.68% to 6.92%, suggesting selective institutional interest despite recent volatility.(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times.)