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On Response-Adaptive Targeting Strategies for Multi-Treatment Experiments
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이 매체는 공공·자유 라이선스로 본문을 직접 표시합니다.Statistics > Methodology
[Submitted on 16 Jun 2026]
Title:On Response-Adaptive Targeting Strategies for Multi-Treatment Experiments
View PDF HTML (experimental)Abstract:Response-adaptive randomization (RAR) in clinical trials aims to improve ethical and statistical efficiency by dynamically allocating patients to treatments based on observed outcomes. While RAR based on a target optimal allocation have been extensively studied for two-arms settings, their extension to multi-treatment experiments ($K \geq 2$) remains theoretically fragmented, with most existing methods focusing on specific algorithms or restricted target allocations. In this paper, we introduce a unified framework for response-adaptive targeting, the $\alpha$-Rebalancing Targeting Strategies ($\alpha$RTS), which generalize the ERADE two-armed strategy of Hu et al. [2009]. We prove that all designs in this family share fundamental asymptotic properties: strong consistency, asymptotic normality of allocation proportions and treatment effect estimators, and asymptotic efficiency. To address sparse target regimes (where some treatments are asymptotically eliminated), we further propose $\alpha$RTS with Forced Exploration, a variant that guarantees infinite sampling for all treatments while preserving the asymptotic guarantees. Extensive simulations illustrate the finite-sample behavior of $\alpha$RTS variants in a 3-armed context, highlighting in particular the critical role of forced exploration in sparse settings.
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