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How quickly could Andy Burnham become the UK’s prime minister?

The Guardian World
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A by-election held Thursday in Makerfield, northwest England, featured Andy Burnham, the Labour-affiliated mayor of Greater Manchester, as the leading candidate. The contest gained outsized political significance because a Burnham victory would position him to potentially challenge Prime Minister Keir Starmer's leadership, as Starmer faces mounting internal party pressure following Labour's poor performance in recent local elections. The result has implications for both Starmer's political durability and the trajectory of the Labour Party.

Progressive: Progressive-leaning outlets frame the by-election as a potential crisis point for Starmer's premiership, emphasizing internal Labour calls for his removal and describing scenarios where he might be pushed to step aside, with focus on party figures already positioning themselves to challenge his authority.

Moderate: Centrist outlets present the election as a consequential test with significant stakes, describing both Starmer's precarious political position and Burnham's status as a potential successor, while maintaining focus on factual reporting of the race and its implications.

Conservative: Conservative-leaning outlets emphasize Burnham's ambitions and electoral prospects, focusing on his pathway back to parliament and potential prime ministerial candidacy, while some also discuss how fragmentation between traditional parties and Reform UK could reshape broader electoral dynamics.

After winning the Makerfield byelection, the returning Labour MP faces a number of scenarios in his bid to replace Keir Starmer

• UK politics – live updates
• Full report: Burnham wins by huge majority

After Andy Burnham’s seismic victory in Makerfield, his prospects of becoming prime minister in short order look significantly higher than they did 24 hours ago.

But there are many variables in that process – from whether he faces a rival such as Wes Streeting in a leadership contest, to whether Keir Starmer is quickly ready to accept the likelihood of his political demise.
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