When species are forced to move: Prediction models underestimate climate-related extinction risk

Climate change threatens many plant and animal species not only when their habitats disappear as climatic conditions change, but also when those habitats shift.

In a new study, a team of University of Potsdam researchers found that whether a species' habitat disappears or shifts has a significant impact on how accurately different models can predict its risk of extinction.

However, this distinction is not reflected in the current standard methods used to assess extinction risk.

Because identifying vulnerable species early is essential for timely conservation action, the researchers argue that these methods urgently need to be revised. ...