Relative Explanations for Contextual Problems with Endogenous Uncertainty: An Application to Competitive Facility Location

Mathematics > Optimization and Control [Submitted on 23 Jun 2025 (v1), last revised 17 Jun 2026 (this version, v4)] Title:Relative Explanations for Contextual Problems with Endogenous Uncertainty: An Application to Competitive Facility Location View PDF HTML (experimental)Abstract:In this paper, we consider a contextual stochastic optimization problem in which unknown parameters follow distributions that depend on contextual covariates and decisions. The problem is motivated by transportation infrastructure decisions such as facility location or network design. In such high-stakes settings, decisions must often be communicated, justified, and reconsidered under alternative stakeholder requirements. To this end, we propose a framework for computing relative counterfactual explanations. These explanations identify the smallest changes in the covariates required for a solution to satisfy prescribed constraints while limiting the performance loss to a controlled level. Whereas relative explanations have been introduced in prior literature, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first work focusing on problems with binary decision variables and endogenous uncertainty. We propose a methodology that uses the Wasserstein distance as a regularization term in the objective. Beyond improving tractability, this regularization yields explanations with desirable structural properties: it produces sparser counterfactuals, induces smoother transitions in the underlying choice distributions, and keeps the counterfactual behavior close to realistic demand patterns. We illustrate the method using a choice-based competitive facility location problem and present numerical experiments that demonstrate its ability to efficiently compute sparse, plausible, and interpretable explanations. We further validate the framework on a real-world case study of electric vehicle charging station planning in Montreal, where the explanations reveal the minimal capacity investments and environmental conditions required to justify including a candidate location in the charging network. Submission history From: Jasone RamÃrez-Ayerbe [view email][v1] Mon, 23 Jun 2025 21:46:41 UTC (194 KB) [v2] Fri, 18 Jul 2025 19:33:48 UTC (195 KB) [v3] Tue, 14 Oct 2025 21:35:03 UTC (111 KB) [v4] Wed, 17 Jun 2026 18:17:23 UTC (10,503 KB) References & Citations Loading... Bibliographic and Citation Tools Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?) Litmaps (What is Litmaps?) scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?) Code, Data and Media Associated with this Article alphaXiv (What is alphaXiv?) CatalyzeX Code Finder for Papers (What is CatalyzeX?) DagsHub (What is DagsHub?) Gotit.pub (What is GotitPub?) Hugging Face (What is Huggingface?) ScienceCast (What is ScienceCast?) Demos Recommenders and Search Tools Influence Flower (What are Influence Flowers?) CORE Recommender (What is CORE?) arXivLabs: experimental projects with community collaborators arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website. Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them. Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.