Predicting subjective rage and facial expressions in human driving: A Bayesian network approach with beta-distributed nodes

A Bayesian network framework is proposed for modelling unit-bounded continuous variables using conditional beta-distributed nodes within a fully Bayesian inference setting.

The model captures conditional dependencies and propagates uncertainty through the network, with inference performed via Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods implemented in WinBUGS.

The framework is applied to an experimental study of emotional and facial responses, focusing on rage intensity and facial gestures.

Results show that brow lowering is strongly associated with rage intensity and is more frequent in men, whereas upper lid raising decreases under provocation independently of rage or sex.

The model also predicts rage severity from informative facial gestures.