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A Cycle Walk for Sampling Measures on Spanning Forests for Redistricting
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이 매체는 공공·자유 라이선스로 본문을 직접 표시합니다.Computer Science > Social and Information Networks
[Submitted on 10 Sep 2025 (v1), last revised 18 Jun 2026 (this version, v2)]
Title:A Cycle Walk for Sampling Measures on Spanning Forests for Redistricting
View PDF HTML (experimental)Abstract:We introduce the Cycle Walk, a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method for sampling distributions on balanced graph partitions, motivated by applications in political redistricting. The method operates on spanning forests and combines two types of updates: local "cycle" moves within districts and global moves that exchange population between adjacent districts while preserving balance constraints. This construction enables efficient Metropolis--Hastings correction while allowing proposals at multiple spatial scales.
We show that the Cycle Walk naturally interpolates between existing approaches based on local updates and a class of global update methods derived from recombination (RECOM). Through a range of numerical experiments on synthetic graphs and real-world precinct data, we demonstrate that the Cycle Walk exhibits improved empirical convergence diagnostics for distributions that place weaker weight on spanning-tree counts, a regime that is challenging for existing methods. In particular, the algorithm remains effective when incorporating alternative compactness measures that more closely reflect policy-relevant criteria.
These results suggest that the Cycle Walk provides a flexible and computationally efficient framework for sampling from a broader class of redistricting distributions than previously accessible with MCMC techniques.
Submission history
From: Jonathan C. Mattingly [view email][v1] Wed, 10 Sep 2025 14:24:29 UTC (3,851 KB)
[v2] Thu, 18 Jun 2026 02:52:40 UTC (4,059 KB)
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