US-Iran ceasefire collapse revives risks of global inflation

ONP Summary
Market crude benchmarks climbed 3-6% Wednesday as tensions between Washington and Tehran reignited, with Trump declaring the ceasefire concluded and tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz stoking fears of regional supply disruption. Both sides exchanged military strikes, prompting investors to reassess Middle East energy security.
Progressive: Unilateral escalation — they see Trump's voluntary decision to end the deal as the precipitating factor in renewed hostilities.
Moderate: Mutual escalation — they view tanker attacks and military responses as tit-for-tat actions by both sides, neither clearly innocent.
Conservative: Justified response — they interpret Iranian tanker attacks as unprovoked aggression warranting US strikes as legitimate self-defense.
China called on the United States and Iran to stick with peace plans after a resumption of missile strikes in the Middle East spurred a jump in oil prices.
“Reigniting the conflict does not serve any party’s interests,” a spokesman for China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said on Wednesday. “We call on the US and Iran to follow through on their memorandum of understanding, resolve disputes through dialogue and negotiation, and avoid resorting to force.”
Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose...
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