The Hormuz Threat Oil Markets Are Ignoring

Threats from President Trump to bomb Iran again and Iranian negotiators leaving the talks in Switzerland once again clouded the outlook for one of the world’s busiest oil chokepoints.

Talks are progressing, but the degree of uncertainty about global oil supply security remains high—because of the risk environment in the strait, of which most appear to be oblivious.

Social media users have started calling Hormuz the Strait of Schrodinger, and with good reason.

It is not only about whether the passage of vessels is unobstructed by Iranian…