The Russian war: are we beginning to witness a world changing historical event?

Russia and its citizens are now experiencing a different and unexpected kind of war.

Ukraine is systematically wearing down Russia's industrial and civic infrastructure while inflicting a massive loss of manpower that could create a serious skills gap and greater long‑term risk for Russia's future.

As the war grinds into the minds of ordinary Russians and some of their leaders, the question arises: within the next year to year and a half, does the probability increase that regions of the Russian Federation might try to secede from Moscow's rule?

If so, the world may be witnessing a genuinely history‑changing event.

This article explores that possibility in more detail. ...