Locally Private Online Quantile Regression: Estimation and Inference
Abstract
We study estimation and inference for online quantile regression under a one-report user-level $\eps$-locally differentially private ($\eps$-LDP) protocol.
The main difficulty is that the standard quantile-regression estimating-equation contribution couples covariates with a residual comparison, so a server that receives only privatized reports cannot form the usual online update.
We address this by developing a finite-alphabet channel in which each user computes the contribution locally, applies support-aware stochastic quantization and randomized response to one selected-block category, and sends one report.
A public decoder corrects the randomized-response distortion and reconstructs a server-side estimating-equation input with the correct conditional mean.
These decoded inputs are then used in projected Polyak-Ruppert averaging.
For fixed finite channel designs, we establish local privacy, decoder unbiasedness, consistency, asymptotic normality, and Hessian-free self-normalized inference for prespecified scalar contrasts.
Simulations and a New York City taxi-trip illustration show that the private trajectory approaches the nonprivate online reference as the privacy budget grows and outperforms direct Laplace and face-exponential geometric releases in the reported regimes.
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