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Practical Forecasting of Environmental Maps: A Functional Data Approach
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이 매체는 공공·자유 라이선스로 본문을 직접 표시합니다.Statistics > Methodology
[Submitted on 7 Feb 2022 (v1), last revised 17 Jun 2026 (this version, v2)]
Title:Practical Forecasting of Environmental Maps: A Functional Data Approach
View PDF HTML (experimental)Abstract:Environmental problems are receiving increasing attention in socio-economic and health studies, fostering advances in recording and data collection of related real-life processes. However, traditional tools for data processing are often found too restrictive as they do not account for the rich nature of such data sets. In this paper, we propose a simple statistical perspective on forecasting environmental data collected sequentially over time across some predefined geographic region. We treat such data set as a surface (or functional) time series with a possibly complicated geographical domain. Using techniques from functional data analysis, we develop a forecasting methodology that allows to account for both geographic and temporal dependencies. This methodology allows integration of traditional multivariate techniques to provide forecasts surfaces. We demonstrate the practical value of our approach with a forecasting example of ground-level ozone concentration across Germany, showcasing its effectiveness and potential for broad application.
Submission history
From: Nazarii Salish [view email][v1] Mon, 7 Feb 2022 16:22:33 UTC (4,818 KB)
[v2] Wed, 17 Jun 2026 07:59:12 UTC (8,693 KB)
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